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All comments on one
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All on one page...
These are all the
stocks that Jim
mentioned during
today's
1:30 pm show...
Read complete stock
recommendations
below...
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General Mills Inc. (GIS) |
|
Intel (INTC) |
|
Microsoft (MSFT) |
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Google (GOOG) |
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Apple (AAPL) |
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Research
In Motion (RIMM) |
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Amazon.com (AMZN) |
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QualComm Inc. (QCOM*) |
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Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
(AMD) |
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Applied Materials (AMAT) |
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Apple (AAPL) |
| |
Jim's Outrage of
the Day:
Fortress Investment Group
(FIG)
|
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The Great
Atlantic &
Pacific Tea Co.
(GAP) |
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Fluor Corporation (FLR) |
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XTO Energy Inc. (XTO*) |
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Nabors (NBR) |
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Halliburton Company (HAL) |
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General Dynamics (GD) |
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L-3 Communications Holdings
Inc. (LLL) |
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Northrop Grumman (NOC) |
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Raytheon Co. (RTN) |
|
streetTRACKS Gold Shares
(GLD) |
|
Note:
During the two week
period, 8/11-8/22, Jim
Cramer's 6pm show has been
replaced by Olympic games'
coverage. Therefore, CNBC is
airing special abbreviated
half hour segments, called
"Mad Money At The Half"...
as well as the normal Mad
Money, full-hour shows, at
11pm.
Given this later schedule of
only an 11pm showing (vs.
the normal 6pm showing), all
full show recaps will be
posted as soon as possible
on the following business
mornings.
Beginning of the 1:30pm show
comments...
Jim: When oil
service is down, as it has
been... what do people reach
for?...
I think they should reach
for the stock of my guest
for this half hour...
General Mills Inc. (GIS)...
and, of course, its ilk...
the companies that use a lot
of gasoline to transport
their wares to supermarkets,
and make their product with
grains... well, baked by
once-costly natural gas...
The market thinks otherwise
though...
The market has seized on
another theme... another
theme... because the
market's participants are
about momentum!... Not about
the fundamentals...
Yeah, the market's looking
for the least-worst momentum
plays now... at least for a
couple of weeks... and we
have seen a trade that
dazzles me every day... It's
a trade into tech... a trade
into the Nasdaq... a daily
trade into tech...
Now look, some of it makes
sense... There is a new
Intel (INTC)
chip... we've got a big
Microsoft (MSFT)
buyback... there is a sense
that
Google (GOOG)
is crushing everyone... Hey,
no kidding... to the
newspaper...
Apple (AAPL)?...
Software being added to the
iPhone... new iterations of
the Blackberry for
Research
In Motion (RIMM)...
a sharply
better-than-expected quarter
for
Amazon.com (AMZN)...
and a resolution of a
critical patent dispute in
favor of Cramer-fave,
QualComm Inc. (QCOM*)...
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
(AMD)
has got some kick, new
graphics chips...
Applied Materials (AMAT),
long a doormat, is showing
some gains... Plus, we're
getting reports from many
tech CEOs that big companies
are spending on tech... even
financial companies...
although, of course, I'm
hard pressed to find
companies actually spending
at all...
Sometimes you have to spend
even the most well-founded
beliefs to be able to make
money... Yes! Sometimes in
this market, you can't let
the facts get in the way of
a story...
No matter that these are the
quintessential weak-dollar
plays, and we have a strong
dollar... No matter that I
don't even expect earnings
to be any good... The trade
is being put on, and it is
in our faces, even on
miserable down days like
today...
Now, nearly every year, the
"sell tech in February, and
go away until the fall
trade" has worked 16 out of
17 years... These days,
perhaps it was the cooler
weather in New York...
People are anticipating the
trade. They always seem to
do... it seems to be a
little earlier every year...
Today, the move is not that
pronounced, because the oils
are trying to find their
footing, despite the
commodity decline, perhaps
because natural gas seems to
have found some sort of
bottom... having retreated
far more than other fuels...
down to levels where there's
actual industrial use, not
just trading fodder...
But there's enough money
coming out of the sector
rotation from the banks
today... and enough short
sellers reloading, with the
rules soon to be out of the
way... Oh, when they reload,
believe me... that I see
money going into tech from
that group too... But, you
know what?... We've got guys
who look at this stuff every
minute... Let's find out
more about all of this by
bringing in Bob Pisani, on
the floor of The New York
Stock Exchange...
[General conversation,
validating from the floor
with Bob Pisani, what Jim is
saying about the rotation
into tech, especially after
John Chambers' (CEO of
Cisco
(CSCO)
latest bullish comments,
which are credited with
sparking this latest tech
rally]...
Jim: Oil, short-term,
long-term... incredibly
difficult. When I turned on
oil on Mad Money, because we
couldn't reach $150 (price
per barrel), I said that oil
could go through (down past)
$120... and, perhaps, as low
as $110...
Now it is so tempting,
because I hear the
chatter... It is so tempting
to say, wait a second, we're
going to pierce $110, and
we're going to go right to
$80-90... That's the stuff
you've been hearing all day,
right?..
Well, you know what? I
didn't revise my price
tartget up when we got to
the $140s... I'm not going
to revise it down here. I
think we are almost where I
thought we could go in oil.
I do believe we are at a
bottom in natural gas, give
or take 40 cents...
There are reasons for these
floors, and they have to do
with industrial demand and
gasoline demand...
Gasoline should be at $3.50
(a gallon), with these oil
prices, okay? And that's
where I think you get some
demand back... We didn't
have any demand at $4.27,
$4.54, $4.85... but we have
demand at $3.50... At least
that's where the demand was
last... Listen, we've seen
the airline (stocks) go up.
Anything can happen...
Clean natural gas...
amazingly, at $8 bucks, is
now as cheap as dirty
coal...
I know from
my charitable trust, it's been too
hard to own them. I've tried
to trade around them.
Natural gas is a bear, but I
think it could morph maybe
into a bear/bull...
I think we're closing in on
where I feel that I can't be
as negative on this group
short term... because,
longer term, we still
haven't been able to figure
out alternatives to natural
gas... we still haven't
found much more of the
stuff. The natural gas
stocks should bottom first.
They've been the weakest.
They have been the been the
biggest source of pain that
I have ever seen... then the
drillers, then
ConocoPhillips (COP),
then
Occidental Petroleum Corp.
(OXY)...
then last, and maybe least,
Exxon Mobil (XOM)...
$3 away from oil and we're
there...
. . . . .
Jim's comments BEFORE the
interview:
Even when it's down almost
100 points, what are we
thinking?... We're thinking
"Gold Medal" (As Jim holds
up a bag of "Gold Medal"
brand of flour, made by
GIS)...
General Mills Inc. (GIS)
has proven that it can
thrive in the face of
adversity...
This company's been faced
with higher wheat prices,
higher energy prices... I
mean, higher for basically
every ingredient...
So what did the stock do,
despite the hedge funds that
were telling me that I
should be saying short the
stock?... which, of course,
I'm not allowed to go long
or short, but everybody
wanted to say this company
couldn't make it...
Wrong!...
52-week high yesterday. It
continues to go higher...
This is a company that has
kept on delivering
consistently strong
earnings, even
better-than-expected ones...
Remember when they
pre-announced back in June,
even though input costs are
soaring?...
Now, happier days are here
again. Costs are down, but
the price increases GIS put
through in order to pass
along those high costs to
its customers -
unfortunately, I know it
didn't want to do it, but
it's able to... People like
you and me at the
supermarket... those price
increases are sticking...
Now, we're paying a little
more for Betty Crocker, for
Hamburger Helper or
Cheerios... General Mills,
which I used to call
"generous mills" because of
its dividend... can pay less
to make them.
This is a recipe for
better-than-expected
earnings through the rest of
the year, and I think
through 2009... And you have
to keep in mind that people
are staying home more for
the first time in five
years... Yes, they're trying
to eat healthier, okay...
Throw in the fact that GIS
is the archtypal recession
stock, and that the company
is running at full tilt,
launching new products,
expanding internationally,
especially in China, where
GIS is growing at 30%... it
just begs the question: can
this story get any
better?...
So let's bring in... let's
talk to Ken Powell, one of
my absolute favorite CEOs...
GIS' CEO and chairman of the
board... not only because
he's a great CEO, but also
because he saw that happier
days would be here again. He
called it, just like I
did...
Mr. Powell, welcome to Mad
Money...
Jim's comments AFTER the
interview:
I predict... you don't have
to say it... I will... many
more upside surprises for
General Mills Inc. (GIS)!...
. . . . .
I get very outraged, because
there are a lot of
outrageous things that I see
on Wall Street... that just
drive me crazy...
Well, just when I thought
that nothing could get worse
for Fortress Investment Group
(FIG)...
take a look at that stock...
what a bow-wow... I got this
guy, Wes Edens (CEO of FIG)
paying $300 million to Adam
Levinson... I don't care
that he's 38. Hey, God love
him. I think it's great that
people make money... but the
numbers that FIG makes are
so awful, that I question
how it is possible that that
guy gets paid $300
million?...
FIG!... You are a complete
and utter embarassment to
the rest of us!...
. . . . .
Jim: Okay,
now... let's make some
money...
If you own a supermarket
chain with horrible
inflation problems, right...
and a difficult integration
issue, because of some
terrible acquisitions...
Now, if you own part of
The Great
Atlantic &
Pacific Tea Co.
(GAP)...
and you're German... what do
you do with all of those
horrible things?... Well,
you're buying the heck out
of them...
I've got to tell you, I'm
seeing some incredible
insider buying in GAP...
These are buyers that are
frankly... I don't know
what's in their heads,
okay... I don't recommend
companies that are crummy...
and this company's crummy...
but, ever since the company
reported one of the worst
quarters of any company, at
least as regards to
expectations, and
immediately shed
three-eighths of its value
instantly, the 446-store
chain started getting
insider buying...
They're 38% owned by
Tangleman, okay... The
dollar's been brutal. If I
were Tangleman, well, maybe
I'd think... No. I'll let
you conclude it...
. . . . .
Look, I'm looking at my
screen...
A couple of things that are
pretty absurd... some are
making sense...
There is a real attempt for
natural gas to stabilize...
Of course, because I threw
one out for
my charitable trust yesterday...
It was called "made in the
volcano"... you do it when
you can't take it anymore...
simply a sign of a bottom...
But let me tell you what's
really absurd...
Fluor Corporation (FLR)...
This is ridiculous. The
company guided up. We heard
from Ray Milkovich at
Foster Wheeler (FWLT*)
last week... Oil's got to go
(down in price) to $70 a
barrel, before these
projects get canceled. I
want to buy FLR, right into
this weakness. I think it's
ludicrous... I think it's
ridiculous...
Watch
XTO Energy Inc. (XTO*).
That led us down, okay...
Think
Nabors (NBR),
think
Halliburton Company (HAL)...
they're natural gas
drillers. It's time, it's
time... It's starting to
really anger me that these
stocks are going down
endlessly.
Do I want to do
ag too?... I don't know... ag's too
hard, but I think
infrastructure is way, way
overdone to the downside...
and it's obvious that
whatever quant funds and
hedge funds that are
pressing them down will then
go to another group. Maybe
they'll go to the financials
for a couple more days, and
then knock those down...
. . . . .
All right, the McCain factor
is playing out big right
now...
We are seeing these defense
stocks have runs that are
reminiscent of Ronald
Reagan, when we had big
budgets coming toward
defense and, when the
market's bad, stocks like
General Dynamics (GD)
and
L-3 Communications Holdings
Inc. (LLL)...
or
Northrop Grumman (NOC)
and
Raytheon Co. (RTN),
which has been a horrible
performer... are now
shining. They actually go
higher on bad days, or stay
flat to edge slightly down
on just, well, (days like)
today...
When Obama triumphed (over
Hillary), these stocks were
hammered mercilessly. They
have become remarkably
resilient, ever since McCain
started getting traction.
Given the strong earnings
profile, and the bountiful
cash, I'm beginning to
wonder whether we shouldn't
buying... buying defense
stocks, right into
the Republican convention...
when the hoopla is loudest.
It seems like one of the
better bets out there in a
totally convoluted and
difficult market...
. . . . .
Let's talk gold...
I was listening to the
fabulous guys at Fast Money,
right before the break...
They're talking about
streetTRACKS Gold Shares
(GLD)...
and I think that GLD could
be right...
I'm bringing on a gold
company management tonight
(on his 11pm show)... I've
seen gold plummet, and I am
wondering again whether that
is overdone and, seasonably,
we shouldn't be buying gold
right here... It's a contra
(contrarian) play. I've
hated gold. I think it's
time.
[ End of 1:30 "Mad Money: At
The Half" Show Comments ]
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Trading Price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

|
GIS |
67.12 |
na |
General Mills Inc. (GIS)
|
|
 |
INTC
|
24.45 |
na
|
Intel (INTC) |
|

|
MSFT |
28.32 |
na |
Microsoft (MSFT)
|
|
 |
GOOG
|
505.07 |
na
|
Google (GOOG) |
|

|
RIMM |
129.70 |
na |
Research
In Motion (RIMM)
|
|
 |
AMZN
|
87.27 |
na
|
Amazon.com (AMZN) |
|

|
QCOM* |
54.39 |
na |
QualComm Inc. (QCOM*)
|
|
 |
AMD
|
5.21 |
na
|
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
(AMD) |
|

|
AMAT |
18.54 |
na |
Applied Materials (AMAT)
|
|
 |
FIG
|
10.17 |
na
|
Fortress Investment Group
(FIG) |
|

|
GAP |
17.55 |
na |
The Great
Atlantic &
Pacific Tea Co.
(GAP)
|
|
 |
|