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See today's 1:30pm
show comments below...
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Note:
During the two week
period, 8/11-8/22, Jim
Cramer's 6pm show has been
replaced by Olympic games'
coverage. Therefore, CNBC is
airing special abbreviated
half hour segments, called
"Mad Money At The Half"...
as well as the normal Mad
Money, full-hour shows, at
11pm.
Given this later schedule of
only an 11pm showing (vs.
the normal 6pm showing), all
full show recaps will be
posted as soon as possible
on the following business
mornings.
Beginning of the 1:30pm show
comments...
. . . . .
'Pulse of the Market'...
Jim:
Oh,
DirecTV Group Inc. (DTV)...
it was a better than
expected quarter...
Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK)...
everybody likes natural gas
all of the sudden it held
the $8 level... Anything
resources like
Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc.
(PCL)...
Goldman Sachs (GS*),
are they going to show a
loss?... I mean, that's what
the stock is showing... it's
showing a loss...
Nabors (NBR),
that's all nat gas... Big
coal upgrade... it's working
big... I've got to tell you,
coal, we saw the Chinese are
short supply... Do you
really want to own a
restaurant turn in this
environment with oil up
$5?... You get the
picture...
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG)
going lower... And by the
way,
Freddie Mac (FRE),
oh please, stop trading
already... It's so obvious
that some guys know the
answer... There was some guy
talking in plunge, that's
what you call power axe...
who was saying, wait a
second... you shouldn't stop
trading... No, you stop
trading because not
everybody knows everything,
all right?... Not everybody
knows everything, but some
people do...
We all know what happens in
this business happens from
the floor up... the trading
floor... We're going to Bob
Pisani, as we have all week
from the New York Stock
Exchange... Bob, what are
you seeing what are you
hearing?...
AFTER conversation with
Bob Pisani:
You've got it Bob,
you're absolutely right...
and it's good because when
we have them all we should
temper our enthusiasm
because the stock (Heinz (HNZ)
has run up indeed... Thank
you so much...
Speaking of energy... I have
to say this... I've got to
tell you... You can't do
these moves in oil
anymore... These futures are
starting to get a little
ridiculous... You can't move
oil up $5 and expect us to
think it can go right back
where it was at $148...
There was ample supply up
there... We know that the
terrorist actions, whatever
they're talking about won't
amount to a hill of the
beans... We know if it goes
up much more, OPEC will
look, OPEC will flood us
again... And we know enough
to realize the headline
writers are busy, again,
giving us misdirection...
They're saying Russia, today
we care about Russia...
Someone give me a break...
I like Bob Pisani's notion
that the dollar going down
gives people to buy oil, but
I also think let's face
it... I think someone is
trapped here... Notice
though, the oil stocks,
which were factoring in $80
a barrel oil last week do
react to quarterly, not to
$120, but to the fact that
we're not going to $80...
All week we've been
referencing the fact that
there was strong demand here
for natural gas...
Industrial demand... Thanks
to Jim Hackett... He came in
on Monday, the CEO of
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC)...
told us the truth about the
futures and how they're
lying... His stock and the
rest of the group... they're
up for real...
I have been using $110 a
floor for oil and $8 a floor
for natural gas... they're
holding... But we're
beginning to get a sense
that these futures'
prices... maybe they're just
not that reliable... Because
we know that oil, for the
moment, is pretty
plentiful... I think what's
happening here is we're
establishing a range in
oil... We don't want to go
below $110... but I don't
think we're headed back for
$148... That's because the
swing factor here is you,
the American driver... and
we know that American
driving gets curtailed at $4
a gallon... In other words,
this time the assault on oil
will be stunted and stopped
and turned back, because we
know there is a point there
isn't much demand... Far
more likely explanation...
Some trader was caught short
and everyone was wise to
it...
This week has been catch up
week to the oil stocks...
for
Exxon Mobil (XOM),
for
Chevron (CVX),
for
ConocoPhillips (COP)...
They touched levels that
were out of synch with the
commodity... The estimates
for the oils are for prices
below here... so if you have
no refining options to speak
of, you're going to blow
away the numbers...
The far more interesting
market to me is natural
gas... where the futures for
quite a long time were
simply not indicative of
anything other than a small
market prone to
manipulation, as we know
from Amarith, the busted
hedge fund from last year...
Now it looks like the short
selling that's softened
traders has been stemmed by
that industrial that
Anadarko is talking about...
Natural gas lives right
here... We've been plagued
by futures markets that are
thin and not realistic... I
am along with saying ignore
them, but the stock market
is on a tear here ever since
oil hit $5, we've been
coming back... and I'm
listening to stocks, not a
couple of yahoos in the oil
futures pit...
Bob Pisani mentioned that we
caught a great quarter this
morning from
Heinz (HNZ)...
Now, because we're real time
here, HNZ is up $.40... Many
of you might have thought it
should be up $1.40, maybe
$2.40, because it was such a
beautiful quarter... You
know what?... I leave these
issues until I listen to the
conference call, which I had
the good fortune to, and
until I get to speak,
because I am Cramer, to the
Chairman, President and CEO
of HNZ... who I was proud
enough to meet last year...
we went to the University of
Texas...
. . . . .
CEO Interview:
Bill Johnson, CEO
Heinz (HNZ) |
Jim's comments BEFORE the
interview:
Well, Mr. Johnson,
congratulations on a
beautiful quarter... Talking
about a lot of things that
are working with
Heinz (HNZ)...
There's just one question
I've got to ask Bill
Johnson, who delivered a
remarkable number...
. . . . .
Jim's comments AFTER the
interview:
Bill Johnson, HNZ, great
quarter... up $.40...
consumer down tape... Bill
Johnson you delivered a
great quarter,
congratulations... The
stock's a buy... appreciate
it... always good to talk to
you sir...
. . . . .
Jim: All
right, look... There is some
things that are just
outrageous to me... I'm sure
they're outrageous to you...
You hear about them all day
and I say
Lehman Brothers
(LEH)...
I mean, come on LEH... Make
something happen...
Something... Just get off my
radar screen... Go private,
get sold... Hey listen go
Bear Sterns, I don't even
care... Do something now!...
Get off my front page!...
Isn't that how we really
feel?... I mean, isn't
it?...
I mean, we know this has
become a lurking black hole
like the other crises...
General Motors
(GM),
Ford (F)...
we were doing a little tape
watching earlier of
Washington Mutual (WM)...
that stock is obviously...
stocks can't go to minus
$3...
American International Group
(AIG),
Citigroup (C),
Fannie (FNM)
and
Freddie (FRE)...
though show the
quintessential insiders...
you don't know what's going
on though people are buying
millions of shares and
selling it who actually
do...
We're all tired and burned
out... We want some
resolutions... We need to
see something happen... We
need to get it so the big
sores are fixed... We are to
the point that if LEH
disappeared, just
disappeared off of the face
of the earth, other than the
people who work at LEH, I
think it would be a God
sent...
The uncertainty is killing
us... Look, we know business
is bad... We know
Goldman Sachs (GS*)
could very well report a
loss for this quarter...
I've owned it for
my charitable trust since the day
I started it... I'm going to
continue to own it... But it
may report a loss... We know
there is know there is no
real bottom yet in the
securities business... but
it's the day to day chaos
that needs to be put to rest
before we even find anything
like Terra Firma, okay?...
The SEC gave us a chance to
catch our breath by not
allowing such a quick demise
of institutions at the hand
of aggressive shorting... It
ruins confidence... But that
went away because the SEC
decided that with the
academics and the laissez
faire attitude, hey, let's
see what happens...
Now, it's the dead of summer
with no one around but the
shorts to push stocks
down... We are staring at
the abyss of LEH and
management fiddles just like
Bear... just like Bear.
. . . . .
CEO Interview:
Michael Ward, CEO
CSX Corp. (CSX) |
Jim's comments BEFORE the
interview:
When we think about
companies we should buy
because of worldwide growth,
but also companies we should
buy because of great
management... We think about
a company we have championed
on Mad Money literally since
the first week of the
show... and the company is
CSX Corp. (CSX)...
Why?... Because the Chairman
and CEO and President of CSX
had delivered, since he came
on board 5 years ago, 335%
profit to you if you banked
with Michael Ward... On the
line now is Mr. Ward,
Chairman, President and CEO
of CSX... How have you been?
. . . . .
Jim's comments AFTER the
interview:
Michael Ward, you have
continued to deliver for
people who watch Mad
Money... I thank you very
much for coming on... next
time in person...
. . . . .
The strong dollar is bad for
companies... The weak dollar
is bad for companies...
Inflation numbers are
terrible... But if it's the
last one, it's good... Oil
is up, oil is going down...
Unless it was going down so
much it looks like it is a
recession... Collapse of
Fannie Freddie bad for
banks... Collapse of Fannie
and Freddie, good for
banks...
Welcome to our world...
Welcome to the chaos of our
world... I want to tell you
something... This is one of
the most challenging period
I've ever experienced in my
thirty years in this
business... There are huge
issues that are so difficult
to fathom... and more
important, the gloom is so
thick... thicker than Heinz
ketchup, that we don't want
to hear the good things out
there...
Yet, it is important for you
to fight the gloom... Let me
give you a palpable example
from this morning's Wall
Street Journal... The
headlines predicted to be
down beat negative...
Heating-oil Users can Brace
for Expensive Winter...
Wooo... Scary... That's
going to kill Christmas...
Early Grinch... But lost in
that story is that the fuel
that heats most homes by far
is natural gas... and year
over year natural gas is
unchanged... It's down over
40% from a month ago...
Should the story not have
been: Natural Gas Users get
Reprieve - Inexpensive
Winter!
How about the fact that, on
Mad Money recently, we spoke
to Fred Faller, the CEO of
Spectra Energy Corp. (SE),
one of the largest natural
gas pipelines in the
country... and he is saying
natural gas is taking a lot
of share from heating oil...
Homeowners are switching
dramatically... Maybe it
goes from 63% to 70%... and
a lot of that is coal, that
stuff... So, more people can
switch relatively easy...
Perhaps the story should be
"People Switching to Natural
Gas to Save Money"... Or is
that more of a USA Today
purple section story?... The
point here is your
reference... This is my last
day here for Mad Money at
the Half... I'm returning to
my regular 6 pm next week as
well as my usual 11 pm... I
just wanted you to know that
on Mad Money we question
assumptions like this... We
question the negative and
the positive... But we
question all the gloom... We
emphasize that while it is
gloomy, it is important to
recognize that while I've
been in this game for thirty
years... and in that time
the Dow Jones average has
gone from 1300 to 11,397...
and we've been loaded with
gloom the whole way... Gloom
like heating oil users can
brace for expensive
winter...
Tonight is part of series
we're doing on head to head
comparisons... We're
examining
Procter & Gamble (PG)
versus
Unilever plc (UL),
my bias... Procter, I own it
for
my charitable trust... But the
more we looked at the
decline in Unilever, the
dividend, the potential for
a turn, the newly stronger
dollar... the more I
realized that the price was
driven down by pessimism...
there might be a buy in
there somewhere... Stay
tuned tonight for the
answer...
Conventional wisdom can be
costly... Overly excessive
optimism can be costly...
But, right now, the most
important consideration that
is costly is gloom... People
laugh at our tag line on the
show... We say it every
night... There is always a
bull market somewhere... and
we'll try to find it for
you... They laughed at its
optimism... they laugh at
Pollyanna approach... Those
who laugh are wrong... We
offer a practical approach
on Mad Money... I'm about
trying to cut through the
nonsense, and at times, the
excessive gloom, to try and
make you money... It's just
too expensive to listen to
the endless sirens of
negativity... If you do,
you're liable to miss a
CSX Corp. (CSX)
or a
Heinz (HNZ)...
or something so good it
might be the only way to
augment your paycheck...
Just a simple thought... Be
skeptical, but don't be
blindly pessimistic... You
will miss the bull market
that is out there, and you
won't let me find it for
you.
. . . . .
|
Final Remarks - What 2
Watch For: |
Let's get a little more
pulse of the market... HAL
natural gas play... that
stock should be a little bit
higher, maybe $2 bucks
versus its competitors...
Potash (POT),
yes, up $7, big short
squeeze right there...
Washington Mutual (WM),
you know where I think that
one's going... Do I have to
tell you?... I don't think
so...
Wall of Shame guy
who's running it...
Jacobs Engineering Group,
Inc. (JEC)...
this is the first day that
any of the infrastructure
plays do well... I predict a
multi-day move for
infrastructure... Why don't
you watch
Fluor Corporation (FLR)?...
FLR apparently disappointed
people... I think if that
stock is up $2-3 by the end
of the day, you could back
in an infrastructure
rally... Oh man... look at
that, a there's a financial
that's actually up...
MetLife (MET)...
The financials are not going
to, as I said... The problem
with the financials,
... I mean, come on
Lehman Brothers
(LEH)...
Make something happen...
Something... Just get off my
radar screen... Go private,
get sold... Hey listen go
Bear Sterns, I don't even
care... Do something now!...
Get off my front page!...
Isn't that how we really
feel?... I mean, isn't it?
Lehman Brothers
(LEH),
American International Group
(AIG),
Washington Mutual (WM),
Citigroup (C),
Fannie (FNM)
and
Freddie (FRE)...
We've got to get each one of
them knocked off before I
think we will see a floor we
can operate off of... But we
will hold the July 15th low
for the banks... We will
hold it.
[ End of 1:30 "Mad Money: At
The Half" Show Comments ]
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