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Monday, 07/14/08
Posted 07/15/08, 08:31
am ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Monday, 07/14/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
11,055 |
- 45 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,212 |
- 26 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,228 |
-11 |
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Final Segment
1 Title: |
'Naturally
Speaking' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured
Stock(s): |
Williams Companies, Inc.
(WMB)
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
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JJC: Look, I
know the banking system is
falling apart... I just
talked with my friend
Chris Matthews on
HardBall... And I know it
seems like, wait a second,
Cramer's just lost his
mind... No, the stocks
have lost their minds...
I'm sane... Now, it's
probably, you probably
think it's foolish...
Foolish to even try and
make money in stocks when
there is so much going
wrong... But you know what
we say on Mad Money, that
there is always a bull
market somewhere... And
right now, it's in gold,
minerals and energy... So
I'm not going to just put
on the
Washington Mutual (WM)'s
shroud, and tell you woe
is me, and do a lot of
crying... That's not my
game...
Last week I announced that
my year of natural gas,
this is this year, is back
on...
The commodities and the
stocks have taken a brief,
week-long beating, the
hurricane went right
instead of left, that kind
of thing... The success of
Chesapeake (CHK) secondary, and we
believe in CHK, was all
the evidence I needed to
know that this group,
which has been among the
best performers all year,
not saying much because
there are not that many
great performers, is back
in style... And now the
President has joined our
club, calling on Congress
to lift the ban on
drilling offshore, where
trillions of cubic feet of
natural gas are buried...
Now, if you watch this
show, you probably know I
like a ton of natural gas
stocks... I mean the CHK,
the oil patch, the
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC)... We've had all
these executives on... As
well as others I own for
my charitable trust, where
I send out the emails and
play with an open hand for
charity... You've heard me
talk about the
wildcatters, the companies
that are drilling for
natural gas where no man
has drilled before...
Including,
Continental Resources
(CLR),
Range Resources (RRC),
Rex Energy (REXX)...
Plus, all those shales...
The Barnett Shale, the
Fayetteville Shale, the
Haynesville Shale, the
Bakken Shale, the
Marcellus Shale... You
know that I think there
are opportunities to make
money in clean drilling...
I mentioned
Oceaneering (OII)
before... But with so many
natural gas companies
drilling like crazy and
producing more and more
natural gas every day,
that creates another
opportunity for us in this
group, the companies that
transport natural gas,
that move natural gas from
one place to another...
the pipeline companies...
Now, I've already given
you
Spectra Energy Corp. (SE),
which, by the way, is one
of the few stocks that has
not been clocked in the
last few weeks... But I've
got another one... Another
one which is both a
pipeline company and a
natural gas explorer and
reported the biggest beat,
you know what that means,
the biggest
better-than-expected
earnings of any company
this year...
And that company is...
Williams Companies, Inc.
(WMB)...
To anyone who's new on the
show, we do work on stocks
here, trying to find names
that will work in this
environment... Names being
Wall Street slang for
companies... I use a lot
of Wall Street slang and
then I bust it... I'm
trying to show you how to
research the stocks we
find... You've got to read
the public filing, you got
listen to the confrence
calls, all on the web, by
the way, so no excuse, and
telling you what matters
to stocks because there is
a lot of noise out
there... I'm here to help
you filter through it, so
you know what's important
to stocks and what
isn't... Now, you can't
just buy a stock after I
recommend it... That is
completely and utterly
irresponisble... The show,
just like the American
Dream show last night, is
the starting point... You
see Kyle Bush, he drives
Toyota, you go buy
Toyota (TM)
stock... No!... You call
it up, you look at it, you
see how it's doing versus
GM and Ford or whatever,
you look at the quarterly
reports, you read some
articles, you get some
analyst support... It's
all on the web, you have
no excuse...
You've got to spend at
least an hour reasearching
that stock until you buy
it... And, once you
bought, well, you've still
got to stay on top of
it...
I tell people to wait five
days before buying any
stock that I mention, to
avoid the so-called
"Cramer-effect", which is
this thing that
journalists talk about
where they hate me...
That's okay, I don't mind
that... Hey, listen, I'm
paranoid... I've got ten
people who really do hate
me... What happens is
stocks tend to spike
briefly after I mention
them... Whole universities
have devoted like major
faculty time to studying
this, but I'm telling you,
it happens... Foolish
buyers rush to buy them
quickly, and then they get
killed by short sellers...
Those are like sharks...
They're just waiting for
you to make that mistake
of using a market order to
buy up, so they can tear
you from limb to limb...
Don't do that... Be
patient... Do the
homework...
If you're convinced about
what I have to say about
Williams Companies, Inc.
(WMB), then do the homework,
and wait at least a week
before you buy... Media
critics would like me to
say sell WMB because I
like WMB... That's too
stupid for words... For a
natural gas infrastructure
company like WMB, I think
what's important is
this... It makes sense
that the more natural gas
we have, the more demand
we'll have for natural gas
infrastructures like
WMB... They pipe the gas
from the fields to
endmarks... If you find
the gas, you can't just
like leave it there
right?... You've got to
transport it to where it's
used... WMB...
WMB owns one of the most
valuable pipelines in the
country, the Transco
pipeline... I'm so old I
remember when Transco was
publically traded... That
goes from the Gulf of
Mexico, right, where a lot
of natural gas is, to the
northeast, which don't
have a lot of natural gas,
other than the Marcellus
Shale, Pennsylvania...
This company has access to
New York City, and using
the Transco pipeline as
it's base could expand
further into the
mid-Atlantic, where there
are millions upon millions
of people, not to mention,
all the power plants who
use natural gas a a fuel
source...
WMB is also working on a
pipeline to bring natural
gas from the Rockys...
Tons of natural gas there,
and there would be a lot
more we could find, but
there are like these
little ferrets or
something that are more
important than you
starving... Okay, anyway,
or certainly freezing...
It's got a great midstream
business, where it
gathers, treats and
processes natural gas with
a $1.4 billion in projects
planned... All these
projects will produce
earnings... Potential for
$3 or 4 billion worth of
projects by 2010...
As a transporter of
natural gas, WMB makes
money off of the volume of
gas it passes, not the
price of the commodity...
But since higher prices
are causing us to produce
more gas, how fragrent,
huh?... High natural gas
prices should still be
good for that side of the
business... On the other
hand, as a producer of,
and explorer for natural
gas, the price of the
commodity, right now about
$11.90 per thousand cubic
feet, matters a lot to
WMB... Remember the
historic price ratio
between oil and natural
gas... If you don't
remember, it's 6 to 1...
So based at that ratio
with crude at $145,
natural gas should be more
than double where it is
per cubic foot...
Twice the current price...
You heard me...
The commodity would double
if it were simply to
follow the historical
trend, and if it does
that, the stocks that
produce this commodity are
going to out perform as
they have so far this
year... As a producer,
look at all this stuff WMB
has... It has roughly 22
trillion, that's at "t",
cubic feet of potential
gas reserves, 13 trillion
feet of crude probable
impossible reserves...
Like the other natural gas
names we like, WMB is
drilling... They're doing
it in PCM's Basin in
Colorado... 9.2 trillion
cubic feet of crude
probable impossible or 3 p
reserves... WMB is a low
cost producer... Get
this... They're charging
us $11 right?... They only
have a $3.07 per million
cubic feet finding cost...
Compared to the median
cost of other companies of
about $4.39... 50% of
WMB's natural gas
production is un hedged in
2008 and 2009, so they're
going to capture some very
big gains... That's by the
way, how they blew away
the number most
recently... Something I
expect there to be a lot
of is more number bumps...
Look, I think the
president is right about
off-shore drilling,
because there hasn't been
a spill since the one off
of Santa Barbara, the
Union Oil one in 1969...
The rest of the world is
using American technology
to drill like crazy...
We're realists in the
show, meaning total cynics
and pessimists... And we
know the governers of
almost every coast city
won't let this drilling
happen...
We want plays that can
make you money now,
without a lot of risk...
Williams Companies, Inc.
(WMB)
is one of those plays.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
If you want a great
natural gas infrastructure
play, that also has the
upside of a company that's
explored for and produced
natural gas that I think
can blow away the numbers,
I think
Williams Companies, Inc.
(WMB),
is your choice.
. . . .
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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|
WMB |
37.65 |
na |
Williams Companies, Inc.
(WMB)
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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Final Segment
2 Title: |
'CEO
Interview'
Catherine
Beurzik, CEO |
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. . . .
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Featured
Stock(s): |
Kinetic Concepts
Inc. (KCI)
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here... |
. . . .
.
Jim's Comments BEFORE
the interview:
We're on an endless hunt
on Mad Money to find
companies that don't have
anything to do with
mortgages... Nothing to do
with oil, at least buying
some... And certainly
nothing to do with
borrowing money, of which
there isn't a lot of...
One of the companies we
found were a little down
on the stock since we
recommended it to you...
As a matter of fact, we
recommended it at $47,
it's around $41 is
Kinetic Concepts Inc.
(KCI),
which does a lot for wound
healing, but also does a
lot of hopital work that
we need to find out more
about...
On the line now is
Catherine Beurzik, she's
president and CEO of
KCI... Welcome back to Mad
Money...
. . . .
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Jim's Comments AFTER
the interview:
All right, here's the way
I feel about Kinetic
Concepts (KCI)...
I obviously like the group
because it's not
economically sensitive...
I want to see the next
quarter... I want to see
the next quarter because
then we'll have the
integration issues behind
us... I feel like I didn't
wait for that in
Hologic Inc. (HOLX),
I didn't wait for that in
Inverness Medical (IMA)...
I need to see it here
before I get too
aggressive...
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
|
| |
|
|
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
| | | | | |