Thursday, 01/03/08
Posted 01/04/08,  12:39 am

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 01/03/08

  Dow Jones: 13,056 + 12
  NASDAQ:   2,602   - 6
  S&P 500:   1,447   +0
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Ultra's Sound'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)


2nd segment picks below...

 

JJC:   For a while now, I've been predicting that this year will be the year of natural gas...

It's now far too cheap, compared to the sky-high price of oil... Do you know that it's (natural gas is) literally the same price as it was two years ago, and oil has doubled (in price)?... I mean this is a clean, clean commodity whose time has now come...

And now, thanks to the generosity of the federal government... or, if you want to look at it another way... thanks to our wonderful system of government of, by and for the corporation!... I've got the perfect stock to play the natural gas theme... and it is...

Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)!...

This stock's already been a huge winner for us, up over 24% since I recommended it on July 9th...

.  .  .  .  .

UPL is an oil and gas exploration and production company that's strongly levered to... meaning it makes a lot of money off of... the Pinedale and Jonah Fields (located in the Green River Basin area of Wyoming)...  These are indisputably the best natural gas plays in the United States...

Wow, this is the place to be drilling...

Now I've repeatedly told you that there are two kinds of energy stocks...  those with growth, and those you don't want to buy...

UPL has a singular focus on production growth.

.  .  .  .  .

Last Friday, when no one was around... they raised their production guidance for the fourth quarter by a staggering 12.1%.  Out of nowhere, they just put it out on the tape...  They gave us exactly what we want.

Their full-year production for 2007 should come in 33% higher than 2006.

Look!  How many companies have 30% growth?  It's Google (GOOG)!  It's Research In Motion (RIMM)!  It's Apple (AAPL), and it's UPL!...

Their 2008 production guidance so far looks pretty darn conservative to me.  And I think they'll raise it again in February, which again will send the stock higher!... Buy, buy, buy!

.  .  .  .  .

But all of this pales in comparison to the big fat Christmas gift that UPL is getting from our friends, buddies and pals at the Bureau of Land Management.  I love these guys.  They come to play!

The Bureau of Land Management regulates how much land companies like UPL can use for drilling and, more importantly, how many wells you can put on the land...

Last week, they released a gift... a new draft plan that should speed up the pace of UPL's development in Wyoming.  And a revised draft environmental impact statement for this incredible, bountiful Pinedale area... a terrific natural gas field.

Now, all of this bureaucratic gibberish should translate into something we care about...

... higher earnings for UPL.

.  .  .  .  .

Now, in very basic terms, the Bureau of Land Management gave UPL more available land to drill on, and is letting them increase the number of wells on that land.

It's exponential.

It's as though the Bureau of Land Management is trying to be the Bureau of Profit Maximization for UPL...

This revised draft is going to all year-round drilling...

UPL expects to get permission for that in the third quarter of this year, for the next 60 years...

Right now, there are seasonal restrictions on drilling... and you know what that's about?  That's to protect the winter habitats of the Mule Deer and the beloved greater Sage Grouse...  but UPL and other drillers have requested an exemption and expect to get it.  Hey, hey... goodbye Sage Grass!... Hello profits!...  

.  .  .  .  .

This is the kind of government giveaway to big business that makes an already great stock into something that has now been anointed by the State!

UPL was great before!  But, now that we know that they've got the Bureau of Land Management right here... in their pocket... and should be able to drill, drill, drill... destroying habitats and air quality...

They've already done more damage to the air than the initial plan allowed for... part of the reason for the Bureau of Land Management's revision in their endless quest for production growth.  You're the winner...

.  .  .  .  .

 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:    I believe natural gas goes much, much higher this year.  You need a natural gas stock.  You want a stock like Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL) that's going to be producing a lot more of it, thanks to the Bureau of Land Management and thanks to the mule deer... 

 



[See Jim's 2nd Opening Segment stock picks below... ]

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance


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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

UPL

71.45

72.42

Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)

 

       
         

 


Netflix, Inc.


 
 
Second Segment
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Banker of The Year'


CEO Interview
Ronald E. Hermance, Jr., CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK)


Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

HCBK

14.81

14.82

CEO Interview
Ronald E. Hermance, Jr., CEO
Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK)


Jim's comments BEFORE interview:  
 
Tonight... a very special night on Mad Money... We're unveiling my new award!... It's the Bailey Award... That's right!... It's a wonderful life, Banker of the Year...

For most banks, 2007 was a horrendous year, but not every banker made loan after loan to people who probably couldn't afford to pay it back...

Not every banker issued those CDOs (i.e., collateralized debt obligation)... where we now know to fear and loathe them...

There's at least one man who knows how to run a bank the old-fashioned way...  You take deposits and then you lend that money out to hard-working people, and then they pay back the loan...

I'm talking about Ron Hermance.  He's the CEO of Hudson City Bank (HCBK)... the only bank that we're recommending, and the clear winner of the Bailey Banker of the Year Award of 2007.

Here's a guy who never did a CDO... He kept all his mortgages... that means on his books... insisted people pay back their loans...

No sub-prime loans here.  In fact, Hermance's company has only 191 non-performing loans.  Those are the bad ones that have been wreaking havoc with most other banks' balance sheets... but not with HCBK...

One, because if there is a loan, so much money is actually put down that, when he recovers it, he actually makes a profit... and because Hermance was careful and diligent about the kind of loans he made, HCBK has been able to turn a profit on the handful of loans, where they actually ended up owning the profit, and had to auction it off.

Hermance runs a lean, mean banking machine... and serves the middle class and wealthy areas of New Jersey, Connecticut, Westchester County (NY) and New York...

Now we've reached 2008... the year when I believe the Fed will finally get its act together.  We're going to start making some meaning rate cuts eventually.  The Fed controls the interest rates the banks pay you... and their profit, called the spread, is the difference between the interest rates they give depositors, and what they get for their loans...

The spreads going to widen, and who do you want to invest with as the spread widens?  And it's widening right now... even before the Fed's even done its job.

Now, every other bank, who foolishly lent money to people who couldn't pay them back... or with HCBK, where this was never a problem...

But you don't need to hear it from me...

Let's go right to the man himself...   

.  .  .  .  .



Jim's comments AFTER interview:  
 
Ron, congratulations.  You deserve it.  You made money for your shareholders, which is what we care about on Mad Money...  Thank you so much...


         
         

[ end of opening segment ]

   
 

Go to the next segment from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>


Netflix, Inc.


Symbol keys:

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his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
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Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
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