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Thursday, 01/03/08
Posted 01/04/08, 12:39
am |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Thursday, 01/03/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
13,056 |
+ 12 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,602 |
- 6 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,447 |
+0 |
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Final Segment 1
Title: |
'Ultra's Sound' |
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Featured Stock(s): |
Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)
2nd segment picks
below...
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JJC: For a
while now, I've been
predicting that this year
will be the year of
natural gas...
It's now far too cheap,
compared to the sky-high
price of oil... Do you
know that it's (natural
gas is) literally the same
price as it was two years
ago, and oil has doubled
(in price)?... I mean this
is a clean, clean
commodity whose time has
now come...
And now, thanks to the
generosity of the federal
government... or, if you
want to look at it another
way... thanks to our
wonderful system of
government of, by and for
the corporation!... I've
got the perfect stock to
play the natural gas
theme... and it is...
Ultra Petroleum Corp.
(UPL)!...
This stock's already been
a huge winner for us, up
over 24% since I
recommended it
on July 9th...
. . . . .
UPL is an oil and gas
exploration and production
company that's strongly
levered to... meaning it
makes a lot of money off
of... the Pinedale and
Jonah Fields (located in
the Green River Basin area
of Wyoming)... These
are indisputably the best
natural gas plays in the
United States...
Wow, this is the place to
be drilling...
Now I've repeatedly told
you that there are two
kinds of energy stocks...
those with growth, and
those you don't want to
buy...
UPL has a singular focus
on production growth.
. . . .
.
Last Friday, when no one
was around... they raised
their production guidance
for the fourth quarter by
a staggering 12.1%.
Out of nowhere, they just
put it out on the tape...
They gave us exactly what
we want.
Their full-year production
for 2007 should come in
33% higher than 2006.
Look! How many
companies have 30% growth?
It's Google (GOOG)!
It's Research
In Motion (RIMM)!
It's
Apple (AAPL),
and it's UPL!...
Their 2008 production
guidance so far looks
pretty darn conservative
to me. And I think
they'll raise it again in
February, which again will
send the stock higher!...
Buy, buy, buy!
. . . .
.
But all of this pales in
comparison to the big fat
Christmas gift that UPL is
getting from our friends,
buddies and pals at the
Bureau of Land Management.
I love these guys.
They come to play!
The Bureau of Land
Management regulates how
much land companies like
UPL can use for drilling
and, more importantly, how
many wells you can put on
the land...
Last week, they released a
gift... a new draft plan
that should speed up the
pace of UPL's development
in Wyoming. And a
revised draft
environmental impact
statement for this
incredible, bountiful
Pinedale area... a
terrific natural gas
field.
Now, all of this
bureaucratic gibberish
should translate into
something we care about...
... higher earnings for
UPL.
. . . .
.
Now, in very basic terms,
the Bureau of Land
Management gave UPL more
available land to drill
on, and is letting them
increase the number of
wells on that land.
It's exponential.
It's as though the Bureau
of Land Management is
trying to be the Bureau of
Profit Maximization for
UPL...
This revised draft is
going to all year-round
drilling...
UPL expects to get
permission for that in the
third quarter of this
year, for the next 60
years...
Right now, there are
seasonal restrictions on
drilling... and you know
what that's about?
That's to protect the
winter habitats of the
Mule Deer and the beloved
greater Sage Grouse...
but UPL and other drillers
have requested an
exemption and expect to
get it. Hey, hey...
goodbye Sage Grass!...
Hello profits!...
. . . .
.
This is the kind of
government giveaway to big
business that makes an
already great stock into
something that has now
been anointed by the
State!
UPL was great before!
But, now that we know that
they've got the Bureau of
Land Management right
here... in their pocket...
and should be able to
drill, drill, drill...
destroying habitats and
air quality...
They've already done more
damage to the air than the
initial plan allowed
for... part of the reason
for the Bureau of Land
Management's revision in
their endless quest for
production growth.
You're the winner...
. . . . .
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I believe
natural gas goes much, much
higher this year. You need
a natural gas stock. You
want a stock like Ultra
Petroleum Corp. (UPL)
that's going to be producing a
lot more of it, thanks to the
Bureau of Land Management and
thanks to the mule deer...
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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This holiday's
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Most popular
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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UPL |
71.45 |
72.42 |
Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)
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Final Segment
2 Title: |
'Banker of The
Year'
CEO Interview
Ronald E.
Hermance, Jr.,
CEO |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured
Stock(s): |
Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK) |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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HCBK |
14.81 |
14.82 |
CEO Interview
Ronald E.
Hermance, Jr.,
CEO
Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK)
Jim's comments
BEFORE interview:
Tonight... a
very special
night on Mad
Money... We're
unveiling my new
award!... It's
the Bailey
Award... That's
right!... It's a
wonderful life,
Banker of the
Year...
For most banks,
2007 was a
horrendous year,
but not every
banker made loan
after loan to
people who
probably
couldn't afford
to pay it
back...
Not every banker
issued those
CDOs (i.e.,
collateralized
debt
obligation)...
where we now
know to fear and
loathe them...
There's at least
one man who
knows how to run
a bank the
old-fashioned
way... You
take deposits
and then you
lend that money
out to
hard-working
people, and then
they pay back
the loan...
I'm talking
about Ron
Hermance.
He's the CEO of
Hudson City Bank (HCBK)...
the only bank
that we're
recommending,
and the clear
winner of the
Bailey Banker of
the Year Award
of 2007.
Here's a guy who
never did a
CDO... He kept
all his
mortgages...
that means on
his books...
insisted people
pay back their
loans...
No sub-prime
loans here.
In fact,
Hermance's
company has only
191
non-performing
loans.
Those are the
bad ones that
have been
wreaking havoc
with most other
banks' balance
sheets... but
not with HCBK...
One, because if
there is a loan,
so much money is
actually put
down that, when
he recovers it,
he actually
makes a
profit... and
because Hermance
was careful and
diligent about
the kind of
loans he made,
HCBK has been
able to turn a
profit on the
handful of
loans, where
they actually
ended up owning
the profit, and
had to auction
it off.
Hermance runs a
lean, mean
banking
machine... and
serves the
middle class and
wealthy areas of
New Jersey,
Connecticut,
Westchester
County (NY) and
New York...
Now we've
reached 2008...
the year when I
believe the Fed
will finally get
its act
together.
We're going to
start making
some meaning
rate cuts
eventually.
The Fed controls
the interest
rates the banks
pay you... and
their profit,
called the
spread, is the
difference
between the
interest rates
they give
depositors, and
what they get
for their
loans...
The spreads
going to widen,
and who do you
want to invest
with as the
spread widens?
And it's
widening right
now... even
before the Fed's
even done its
job.
Now, every other
bank, who
foolishly lent
money to people
who couldn't pay
them back... or
with HCBK, where
this was never a
problem...
But you don't
need to hear it
from me...
Let's go right
to the man
himself...
. . . .
.
Jim's comments AFTER
interview:
Ron,
congratulations.
You deserve it.
You made money for
your shareholders,
which is what we
care about on Mad
Money... Thank
you so much...
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[
end of opening segment ]
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Go to the next segment from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself. |
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Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself. |
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about. |
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Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms": |
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Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back... |
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Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you. |
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Definition: 'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock). |
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Definition: 'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >> |
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Helpful Websites: |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Warren
Buffett's portfolio
of
stocks at:
warren-buffett-portfolio.com |
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Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
StockHomework101.com
This site is coming soon.
Thank you. |
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FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.
Fast Money Recap - Trades
for next day...
Compare these picks to Jim's
comments for the same
stocks. |
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© 2005-2008 MadMoneyRecap.com ■
Important disclaimer: This site is
not affiliated with Mr. James
Cramer, and is not associated with
any television networks or
broadcasts. Please note that all
thumbs up or thumbs down
indicators are not always clearly
indicated on the show and are
interpreted by us as accurately as
possible. Some comments have been
edited for brevity and clarity,
and extraneous material omitted.
Please rely on watching the show
yourself, doing
your own homework,
and reading the text of the
comments to draw your own
conclusions. Also, data presented
on this site should not be used to
make investment decisions and
accuracy, although attempted,
cannot be guaranteed. Please
consult with your own financial
advisor for professional advice.
As they say on CNBC... All the
recommendations expressed by Jim
Cramer are solely his and are not
the opinions of, in our case,
MadMoneyRecap.com, as we only
report them... and may have been
previously disseminated by him.
Before acting on a recommendation,
consider its suitability for your
circumstances and consider seeking
advice from your own financial
advisor. |
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