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Wednesday, 03/05/08
Posted 03/05/08, 11:21
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Wednesday, 03/05/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
12,254 |
+41 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,272 |
+12 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,333 |
+ 6 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Cash is Trash'
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Consolidated Edison
Inc. (ED)
See ED's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for ED
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: What did
we tell you yesterday, at
the beginning of the show?
We told you the market was
too low... We said
you shouldn't be
selling... We
said the negativity would
produce higher, not lower,
prices...
We think the market can
still go higher.
We're not done. And
we hope you use
yesterday's weakness to
load the boat with our
faves... gold, oil,
and agriculture...
Gold going to $1600...
Natural gas going to
$16... The grain
complex going to $16...
It's the Sweet Sixteen
time...
Now, of course, all of
these were fabulous
today...
But, tonight, we're done
telling ourselves how
great we are...
Tonight, we defrock our
least favorite asset...
Tonight, we celebrate the
slow regicide of king
cash!...
. . . .
.
With every rate cut, cash
becomes a less and less
attractive place to stash
your money, because
Bernanke's cutting the
short rates, which are the
rates that banks pay out
to you as the depositor.
He's already taken things
low enough that you'd be
insane to keep money in a
certificate of deposit, or
a money market account...
and, with every additional
rate cut, cash becomes -
you got it - trashier and
trashier!...
This is the cut-by-cut
beheading of king cash...
and, yeah, Bernanke's just
as bad at performing the
execution as...
well, he's managing the
execution just as badly as
he does everything else...
. . . .
.
But, who's the new
king?...
How about - yes!, I've got
the new one... I've
got the new king... and
the king is...
high-yielding stocks...
Investors looking for
income, not for asset
growth, want to park their
money in a place that's
going to give them a lot
of yield...
Now that rates have come
down, people who have
money in cash... they know
it's trash. They're
looking for another
place... they want
yield. That's why we
put cash in the Sell Block
a while ago...
And now we've got
something that's a
fabulous alternative to
cash... something that I
can get excited about.
Now, of course, people can
go into another form of
cash, which are
treasuries...
Frankly, the 3.6% yield
you get from the 10-year,
or the 4.5% yield you get
from the 30-year bond...
that's trash too!...
especially when you
remember that, unlike
dividends - which are
taxed at a low 15% -
you're income from bonds
gets taxed at normal high
rates. You're income
from cash... you've got to
pay a huge amount of tax
when you own this stuff...
So what does that leave
for us? What
gets favorable tax
treatment?...
Stable stocks with high
yields... they should keep
going higher, as more and
more investors looking for
income, leave this trash
pit, and flock to
dividends...
Now, frankly, if you're
one of those investors,
you should be flocking to
them for the yield.
It's the right call...
But, if you want a stock
with a high yield that can
also go higher, well,
tonight, you're in luck,
because I've got two
stocks - not just one -
two stocks tonight, that
can give you both...
. . . .
.
First up is... Consolidated Edison
Inc. (ED)!
This is, as far as I'm
concerned, the single-best
electric utility in the
nation to own... It is, by
far, the best utility
stock.
ED has a 5.7% yield.
And, remember, since
dividends get favorable
taxation... it's
great for shareholders
after the 15% tax on
dividends, so your 5.7%
yield on ED becomes a
(real, after-tax) 4.8%
yield... still
better than a
long bond gives you,
even before its much
higher tax rate...
Oh, and last I looked, a
30-year doesn't have the
upside versus a common
stock... You know,
Treasury doesn't raise the
interest rate they pay you
on that bond... but ED
just raised its dividend
for the 34th consecutive
year... not big,
alright... half a penny,
or about 0.9%... in
January...
But, c'mon... think about
it... a better deal than
cash, interest rates don't
go up - they don't pay you
more interest...
Here, you've got a chance
for it to go up, but not
have the bond go down
which, in this case,
happens to be ED...
. . . .
.
The best reason to buy
this stock, dividends
aside, is that utilities
are classic recession
stocks... They have
virtually no economic
sensitivity...
And the fundamentals?...
Like I said, best of
breed...
Back on January 24th, ED
reported a fabulously
better-than-expected
quarter. They earned 76
cents a share, beating
expectations by a massive
15 cents. And, believe me,
that's not easy to do,
when you're a
heavily-regulated
utility...
They just had very good
price increases... but,
coming from this company,
it's no surprise. They
beat thanks to the just a
little bit of rate
increases... They also
beat thanks to higher
heating demand.
While they didn't get the
rate increase they wanted
recently, I think they'll
still get enough to cover
another small boost in the
dividend next year...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Cash - as we know it...
People are swimming in
cash... It's total
trash... It's absolutely
worth less and less each
day, and I've got a stock
that yields you 5.7%...
that can raise it's
dividend... that's a
stable player... I
need you to buy - not this
stuff (cash) - but
Consolidated Edison Inc.
(ED).
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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ED |
41.03 |
41.35 |
Consolidated Edison Inc.
(ED)
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Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
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Opening Segment 2
Title: |
'Trust Funds' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured Stock(s): |
Permian Basin
Royalty Trust (PBT)
See PBT's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
PBT
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: Welcome
back to our show that's
devoted entirely to the
decline and fall of
cash... that's right, cash
that's become trash!...
As (Federal Reserve
Chairman) Bernanke's
slashing rates, he's
slashing the interest
rates you get on cash...
the yield you're getting
is going lower...
and that means cash is
going to worth less and
less...
. . . .
.
The winner here is stocks
with high yields... mighty
dividend payers that
investors looking for
stability and income are
already buying... and will
keep buying, as long as
the Fed keeps cutting...
I've already given you
Consolidated Edison Inc.
(ED),
with a nice, fat 5.7%
yield...
How about a stock to own
for the next five years,
with a really massive,
gargantuan yield?...
A morbidly-obese
dividend?...
Wouldn't you like that,
instead of this (cash)
nonsense?...
Good. Because I've
got a whole group of
them... a group of stocks
that's being almost
completely overlooked...
Only one is the best, but
you need to know a little
something about the group
first, because many of you
may not be familiar with
these stocks. I
don't talk about them on
the show...
I'm talking about U.S.
energy trusts...
What the heck are they?...
These are companies that
own oil and gas wells, but
usually let outside
companies operate them...
What's so special about
energy trusts?...
They don't pay taxes, as
long as they give a high
percentage of their
profits back to
shareholders, in the form
of - you guessed it - a
juicy dividend...
. . . .
.
Now, you have to pay
regular taxes on these
dividends. This is
not like a typical common
stock, okay? These
are taxed... but there's a
great way to get around
that. I think you
buy these for your 401k or
your IRA, which are
tax-deferred...
You won't pay any taxes on
those dividends, until you
ultimately withdraw your
money after you've
retired...
These are the ideal stocks
- these energy trusts -
for retirement accounts,
because you can reinvest
the dividends
year-after-year, letting
them compound, and
realizing potentially huge
untaxed gains in your
retirement portfolio...
. . . .
.
This sounds good to me.
You've got
ConEd
(ED)
to handle your regular
cash, okay... and then,
for your IRA or for your
401k, while you're waiting
for something to happen,
how about putting your
money into one of these,
and get you a good
return?...
Now, in the past, Canadian
energy trusts I've been
recommending, right?
They had been a better bet
than their counterparts in
the U.S. In
Canada, they allow the
trust to grow... they can
acquire new properties.
But, in the U.S. they
can't, which means the
trusts have more growth up
there than they have down
here, and they have higher
yields...
One of the reasons why the
Street ignores U.S.
trusts... there's really
no major coverage out
there, other than
Citigroup... is that they
can't grow by
acquisiton... they're
really boring.
But there's a great story
here, because oil prices
are so high, and probably
going so much higher, that
let's just say it's under
the radar. It should
be talked about by
everybody...
. . . .
.
Back to why we like the
U.S. more than Canada...
There's a 15% foreign tax
withholding on the
dividends from those
Canadian trusts if you're
an American... and
the government's raising
their taxes as of 2011...
So, if I were you, you've
got to shift to the
domestic ones...
Which ones?...
Four options:
Permian Basin Royalty
Trust (PBT)
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty
Trust (BPT)
San Juan Basin Royalty
Trust (SJT)
Hugoton Royalty Trust
(HGT)
. . . .
.
When we looked at all of
them, these are the four
that we liked the most...
My favorite is the Permian Basin Royalty
Trust (PBT)...
We want to buy an energy
trust with a good mix of
oil and gas, and we want
one with a really high
yield...
So, I'm going to take out
the SJT and the HGT,
because they're 7.4% and
8.0%, respectively. I know
you probably think I've
gone nuts, but those
aren't good enough.
Not compared to the two
other trusts... those
yields are puny.
PBT has a 12.0% yield.
BPT yields 13.7%...
staggering, right?...
. . . .
.
PBT is my favorite for
three reasons...
Reason #1
First of all, it's got a
good mix of oil and gas -
59% oil... 41% gas.
BPT has 100% oil.
Not diversified, not good.
I like natural gas.
I think it's going to $16.
Reason #2
Second reason... location,
location, location...
which is what we used to
say about real estate,
before that become the
crummiest investment in
the world. PBT -
their oil and gas...
it's in Texas... very
friendly country for oil.
BPT is in Alaska...
Reason #3
The government's trying to
raise taxes.
. . . .
.
So, PBT it is... 12.0%
yield that could go
higher.
With higher oil and gas
prices, PBT makes more
money, and distributes
more of it, to
shareholders. It is
that simple.
Let me tell you how the
distribution works...
. . . .
.
After PBT makes its money,
and pays off its expense,
they distribute everything
else left to shareholders.
That's why the dividend
can vary... But,
even if prices go lower,
PBT's dividend is still
going to be impressive.
We know what PBT yielded,
for instance, when oil was
cheaper. So we can
predict, based on
historical precedent, what
would happen if, say, oil
went back to $70 or $80...
PBT would then yield
probably 7.9% to 9.1%...
That's where it was.
I still think that's
impressive, don't you?...
Now, understand...
It has about nine years
worth of oil and gas in
the trust... which I
think makes it a nifty
play for the next 4-5
years, before people start
worrying about the oil and
gas running out...
Remember, these are
finite, all right?
So that's another one of
the tricks... but for four
or five years, I think
you're just going to make
a ton of money in this,
and then you can sell it.
Great for your IRA or
401k...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I believe that U.S. energy
trusts - Permian Basin
(PBT)
in particular - are the
perfect high-yielding
stocks for your 401k or
IRA... where you
won't have to pay the
higher taxes on their
dividends, and you can
reinvest the huge yields,
year after year... to
hopefully make a fortune
for retirement.
. . . .
.
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

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PBT |
19.40 |
21.24 |
Permian Basin
Royalty Trust
(PBT)
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Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself. |
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Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself. |
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about. |
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Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms": |
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Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back... |
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Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you. |
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Definition: 'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock). |
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Definition: 'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >> |
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Helpful Websites: |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Warren
Buffett's portfolio
of
stocks at:
warren-buffett-portfolio.com |
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Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
StockHomework101.com
This site is coming soon.
Thank you. |
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FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.
Fast Money Recap - Trades
for next day...
Compare these picks to Jim's
comments for the same
stocks. |
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Cramer, and is not associated with
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interpreted by us as accurately as
possible. Some comments have been
edited for brevity and clarity,
and extraneous material omitted. Please rely on watching
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cannot be guaranteed. Please
consult with your own financial
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