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Monday, 04/21/08
Posted 04/21/08, 10:47
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Monday, 04/21/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
12,825 |
- 24 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,408 |
+ 5 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,388 |
- 2 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'The Green Party'
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Featured Stock(s): |
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)
Foster Wheeler (FWLT*)
Shaw Group Inc. (SGR)
BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)
MEMC Electronic Materials
(WFR)
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: A
year ago, we had our first
"Green Week" on Mad
Money... I picked eight
environmentally-friendly
stocks for my green
portfolio... And now, the
results are in... Green
has been
pants-ing the rest of the market...
The tide seems to be
turning green! The stocks
in Mad Money's green week
portfolio are up... are
you ready skee-daddy?...
an average of 76.8%,
compared to a negative
5.5% for the S&P 500. Who
says money doesn't grow on
trees?!
Green up!...
The stocks I picked were
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR),
Foster Wheeler (FWLT*),
Shaw Group Inc. (SGR),
MEMC Electronic Materials
(WFR),
Tetra Tech Inc. (TTEK),
Fuel-Tech, Inc. (FTEK),
and OM Group Inc. (OMG)...
I know that FSLR's up
huge... But, even without
it, the Green Portfolio is
up 35%!... and that's
still a lot to brag
about...
Tonight, I want to review
the stocks in the
portfolio, to go over what
worked and what worked
less... and I want to tell
you which of these I think
you should dump... and
which ones I think are
worth hanging onto going
forward, or even buying
more of!
First, I want to go
through the big winners...
Then, after the break...
this is called a tease...
we'll try to learn from
the ones that only
slightly outperformed the
S&P 500.
But, before I start going
through the stocks, I want
to explain why green has
worked so well... and why
I expect it to keep
working...
A year ago, in our first
green week, we correctly
anticipated that oil would
be up huge to $125...
still our price target...
and it's higher oil prices
that have driven up
everything related to
clean energy... from solar
to clean coal... This is
the trend behind the
trend... and I don't think
it's going away... It's
what drove me back to the
ag stocks... and I've got
a new ag play to talk
about after the
Lightning Round...
Back to my green stocks...
The biggest winner out of
the bunch has been
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)...
It's up 367%, since I made
it a green week stock on
April 17th last year...
FSLR is the solar play
that doesn't need
subsidies to work... and
will be the standard in
this country, no matter
which presidential
candidate wins... as it
already is the standard in
Germany... I think the new
president brings in FSLR
fast. I also can't stress
enough how much (Gov.
Arnold Swartzennager) over
in California, has gotten
behind solar, and how the
utilities in California
always lead the rest of
the country.
FSLR was purely a play on
the need for energy that
pays back. Sure, right
now, an FSLR panel in year
1 is more costly than oil
or gas, and certainly more
than wind, but these
fossil fuels are getting
more and more expensive...
and are in short supply...
Remember, this is the most
cost-effective solar play
out there, because it
doesn't use silicon, and
that makes it much cheaper
for FSLR to make its
panels... to put them
right on the roofs of
commercial operations and
integrate them straight
into the grid... This is
practical solar... the
stuff that works when it's
nasty out... not the other
kind, where you kind of
need 98 degrees in the
shade for it to work...
We remain in conviction
mode for FSLR... and I
think that any big time
conglomerate that wants to
be in energy, should just
swallow the dilution, and
buy them!... I think this
is to solar what
Intel (INTC)
was to semiconductors...
and I expect it to repeat
the incredible performance
from Intel from 1988 to
1998...
The next winner was Foster Wheeler (FWLT*)...
a stock that remains in
my charitable trust...
FWLT, up 97%... This was
and is my favorite
infrastructure play. We
liked it for Green Week,
as a play on clean coal...
Now, if you think a
democrat is going to win
the White House, then I
think you can bet that
FWLT will go up because
clean coal, while
seemingly oxymoronic, is
FWLT's great environmental
contribution. Also, if the
price of oil stays high,
or continues higher, that
means FWLT, which builds
petrochemical plants and
refineries - all of which
are in short supply -
should work even higher.
This one if way off its
high... and, unlike FSLR,
which could use a little
10-point pullback... I
think you should be buying
FWLT right here. I think
FWLT knows how to make
green nuclear coal and
coal liquification
plants...
We had another
infrastructure stock in
the Green Portfolio... It
was called Shaw Group Inc. (SGR)...
up 79% since last year.
This one was a play on
nuclear, almost
extensively... and
exclusively...
It's winning energy and
power projects all over
the world, just like
FWLT... but nuclear is the
heart and soul of this
one, especially as nuclear
power plant projects in
the U.S. are just starting
to get off the ground. If
I were you, I'd definitely
stick with SGR, although
the Street didn't like the
quarter...
We picked BorgWarner
Inc. (BWA)
as a clean emissions
play... but I think you
should dump this one from
the portfolio. It's too
tied to auto production...
going nowhere.
Another one in the
portfolio we want to
jettison is MEMC Electronic Materials
(WFR)...
up 21.7% since last year.
It worked because of high
silicon prices. I don't
think it's sustainable. I
believe silicon's the
wrong technology for
solar. The company has
continually had execution
warnings... I say (ring
the register)... Faded and
fatigued... that's how I
regard WFR...
. . . .
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The Bottom Line!:
The Mad Money Green Week
portfolio worked! Money
did grow on trees, despite
those classes that you
took! Stick with
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)...
stick with Foster Wheeler (FWLT*)
and Shaw Group Inc. (SGR).
But it's time... yes, hit
the eject button on
BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)
and MEMC Electronic Materials
(WFR).
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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FSLR |
291.85 |
na |
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)
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FWLT* |
67.09 |
na |
Foster Wheeler (FWLT*)
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SGR |
55.02 |
na |
Shaw Group Inc. (SGR)
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BWA |
47.67 |
na |
BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)
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WFR |
75.96 |
na |
MEMC Electronic Materials
(WFR)
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Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
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Final Segment 1
Title: |
'Green Giants' |
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Tetra Tech Inc.
(TTEK)
Fuel-Tech, Inc. (FTEK)
OM Group Inc. (OMG)
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC:
We're going over the
stocks from last year's
Green Portfolio... We've
been through the winners.
Now, I want to talk about
the losers...
Every stock in the Mad
Money Green Portfolio beat
the S&P 500. But three of
them dramatically
underperformed the rest of
the group...
And that was Tetra Tech
Inc. (TTEK),
Fuel-Tech, Inc. (FTEK)
and OM Group Inc. (OMG).
I want to tell you where I
think we went wrong on
these three, and if
they're keepers or
losers...
First, let's talk about
Tetra Tech Inc. (TTEK)...
Up just 1.6%, this is a
water play that serves the
complete water cycle. It
gets a lot of its
contracts from the Feds...
I hate it when people say
they were early on a
stock, and not wrong. I'm
going to cop to both... I
got this one wrong,
okay?... But, right now,
it's actually becoming
right... Why?...
Water will be the next
global shortage, even
though all the talk right
now is about the oil and
gas complex... When it
comes to water, TTEK is
the largest player in the
sector. Multi-billion
dollar opportunities
coming up... There are
coastal engineering and
flood protection projects
coming... $20 billion...
Raw sewage management...
another $20 billion... and
military base closure
deals.
Just last month, TTEK
announced its largest
commercial - meaning
non-governmental -
contract... $100 million.
They also recently bought
a wind energy company,
making TTEK even greener.
That offers entry into
another $20 billion
opportunity... Wind, by
the way, is the
cheapest... That's the
cheapest per unit of
energy you're using.
Last year, TTEK was wrong.
But now it's entering the
environmental sweet spot,
and I'd be a buyer.
If I were a major
conglomerate, wishing to
get into wind power and
water construction, I
would bid for TTEK for a
lot more than it's selling
for now...
The next so-called loser
in the Green Portfolio is
Fuel-Tech, Inc. (FTEK),
which is up a mere 8.9%...
very popular as a
Lightning Round stock...
Here's the thing... FTEK
had an incredible run in
the two months after my
Green Day
recommendation... so I put
it in the Sell Block on
June 21st of last year
with a 72% gain. The stock
dropped sharply since
then.
And you know what I think
with FTEK?... At last,
after this big decline,
time to reload...
This is one of those
high-flying stocks that
swings wildly up and
down... and I think there
are good reasons to think
it'll go higher from
here...
FTEK is a clean coal play
that also increases the
efficiency of coal plants.
They recently reported
breakout fourth quarter
numbers, but they issued
conservative guidance that
made people sad...
I think these guys are
playing the UPOD game...
underpromise...
overdeliver...
Coal has been working, but
I think FTEK will do
especially well, if a
democrat gets into the
White House... But it
needs to be clean, and
FTEK does the cleaning.
There's a great
legislative catalyst here
too... Clear Air
Interstate Rule
Regulations are set
commence in 2009, and I
think utilities will be
seeking out pollution
control technologies like
the kind FTEK makes right
now...
The company is also only
beginning to tap foreign
markets... It's got the
foot in the door into
India and into China. From
what I can see, it's just
a question of execution
now, when it comes to how
much money they can make
in Asia.
Shockingly, I think there
is a growing perception
among the Chinese
Communists that dying from
bad air generated from
dirty coal plants may
actually be bad... at
least for business...
Back to FTEK... There's
been a lot of recent
insider buying... The
Chairman bought 25,000
shares at $17.90 on March
7th... about six points
below the current price...
The Deputy Chairman bought
20,000 shares a few cents
lower on March 10th.
I love insider buying...
You only buy for one
reason... because you
think it's going up. Stick
with it.
Finally... OM Group
Inc. (OMG)...
up 11.3%. This was an
emissions play that is
heavily dependent on
cobalt prices. We thought
cobalt prices were going
to go up... but then they
went down like the
Titanic... Going into
August, we were down 26%
on OMG, when the stock
bottomed. I think we
should be happy that
they've recovered so much
from here. Take profits on
OMG.
OMG makes the chemicals
used in hybrid car
batteries and, since the
auto business stinks out
loud, I don't think you
want that exposure, or
exposure to the cobalt
market.
. . . .
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The Bottom Line!:
Of the Green Stocks that
didn't work as well as the
rest, I want you to keep
Tetra Tech Inc. (TTEK).
Fuel-Tech, Inc. (FTEK)
you can keep... OM
Group Inc. (OMG)?
No. It's still up. Count
your blessings. Move on...
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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TTEK |
20.99 |
na |
Tetra Tech Inc. (TTEK)
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FTEK |
23.96 |
na |
Fuel-Tech, Inc. (FTEK)
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OMG |
58.31 |
na |
OM Group Inc. (OMG)
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Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself. |
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Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself. |
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about. |
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Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms": |
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Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back... |
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Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you. |
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Definition: 'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock). |
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Definition: 'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >> |
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Helpful Websites: |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Warren
Buffett's portfolio
of
stocks at:
warren-buffett-portfolio.com |
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Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
StockHomework101.com
This site is coming soon.
Thank you. |
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FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.
Fast Money Recap - Trades
for next day...
Compare these picks to Jim's
comments for the same
stocks. |
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possible. Some comments have been
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and extraneous material omitted. Please rely on watching
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