After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
JJC: Not
to be arrogant... but Mad
Money's out to change the
way the world looks at
stocks...
We are on an endless
search, an endless hunt
for long-term growth...
because growth is
ultimately what determines
whether a stock goes up or
down.
Traditionally, in this
country, we have embraced
tech companies as growth
engines... the faster, the
more reliable, the
better... but, on Mad
Money, we have struggle
mightily of late...
actually since the show
began, with the very
relevance of what we
called now, "old tech" and
its lack of long-term
growth...
Our hunt has taken us away
from the Silicon Valley,
where the focus is on more
graphically-violent video
games, or snazzy phones,
or more lucrative customer
retention software... into
the port of Cleveland...
or the plain state of
Illinois... or the former
home of Maytag... Newton,
Iowa, where we are finding
fabulous long-term growth
companies that are solving
the problems of mankind...
cleaner water, fewer
nastier emissions, more
efficient energy use...
cheaper, more practical
alternative engines...
ways to combat famine and
food wastage...
These companies - we call
them "new tech" companies
- deserve higher
price-to-earnings
multiples... we call them
P/Es...
In other words, they
deserve to sell at higher
prices, relative to the
earnings they produce,
because they have amazing
visible sales prospects
for much bigger markets
than the "old tech"
companies.
People are focused on
Dell (DELL)'s
earnings tonight...
We don't care about DELL's
earnings... they're a
compiler of parts.
They wouldn't know what
mankind was if they
stepped on it.
In short, we want you to
sacrifice your DELLs...
your expensive "old tech"
stocks... the semi's, the
softwares, the networkers,
the cell phones, the
wide-area combos... to
focus on, well, companies
like our newest "new tech"
company tonight... a
company with a fitting
geographic moniker, and
that company is...
This "new tech" is about
solving mankind's big
problems, and we think it
deserves to trade at a
much higher level than a
Microsoft (MSFT),
or an
Intel (INTC),
or an
Analog Devices
(ADI),
or a
Cisco
(CSCO)...
which have nowhere near
the long-term visibility
or growth of a company
like ITW, which I regard
as "Exhibit A" of the
companies that deserve
your attention... your
homework... your listening
to the conference calls...
your purchase!... as these
old-line companies get
re-valued higher, at the
expense of MSFT and
INTC...
. . . .
.
ITW is a classic "new
tech" stock that's trading
at just 13x earnings with
a double-digit growth
rate... You can find "old
tech" stocks that have
less visibility, and
slower growth, that are
trading at 18x these
earnings.... This is the
disparity, the anomaly,
that we're addressing on
Mad Money. It's the reason
I say ITW is "new tech"...
so people will consider
that fact and pay more for
those earnings of ITW than
for a INTC.
Now, you can see that ITW
is a mankind company,
because the technology in
its food equipment
business and packaging
business helps us more
efficiently cook and
preserve our foods at
restaurants, hotels and
stores... You see Cracker
Barrel... you see Kraft
(where Jim is holding up a
plastic package for
shredded cheese)... I see
"Zip Pak"... okay...
that's what I see. And you
know this... "Zip Pak" is
why you can save food....
(like a ZipLock zipper
enclosure to keep food
fresh)... We throw out a
lot of food in this
country. The "Zip Pak" is
a long-term famine solver.
ITW has a growing arc
welding business... I
know, it doesn't sound
compelling... It
contributes to improving
the world's
infrastructure. We know
that's hurting. They make
better strapping to move
materials safely and
securely throughout the
world... which has led to
a doubling of
international business in
three short years, making
the company a faster
grower, a
ROW-er, rather than a
slow-boat domestic... And
a specialty power
business... It addresses
our energy. This is a
company that knows how to
serve man.
. . . .
.
Just this month, the
company introduced the
next generation of
resealable packages... So
you know what we're going
to call ITW?... ITW is a
mankind company in the
theme of Donny Deutsch...
You can call it that, but
we have bigger prospects.
You know what we think? I
don't like the company, as
a company just because it
serves man... I like it as
a company, because it's
levered to long-lasting
cycles, giving it years of
earnings visibility and
high growth.
. . . .
.
I like ITW, because it's
using technology...
According to the Wall
Street Journal, ITW was
ranked highest in patents
issued in the industrial
components and fixtures
sector to meet long-term
demands and, thus, make a
lot of money. As it
happens, ITW, along with
all the other "new tech"
companies, are making
their money by helping to
solve humanities greatest
problems... but we like
them because there's money
in it, not because they're
great humanitarians, or
(because) Mad Money is
populated with
humanitarians... We're
populated with people who
want to make money.
That's why I like ITW as a
"new tech" company.
. . . .
.
Let me give you another
reason on price... a
terrific reason on price
to like it right now, pure
and simple...
You see, ITW is down. It's
just a few points off its
low... It's off more than
12% from its high...
Unlike
Emerson Electric (EMR)
or an
Eaton Corp. (ETN)...
and it's usually in that
cohort... and that's
because it's involved in a
bidding war with another
Cramer-fave, called
Manitowoc (MTW),
a crane company, which has
an ice-making division,
for Enodis... that's a
commercial food equipment
company that they both
want. MTW bid first, then
ITW placed a higher bid,
then MTW went even
higher...
I've got to tell you, I
love these situations,
because both the bidders
get knocked down... each
one gets knocked down
equally. Only one will buy
Enodis, so both stocks
will rally when the deal
happens. I've seen this
happen time and time again
near the end of the
bidding... This is
Cramer's old hedge fund
head trying to make you
money, okay... The buyer
wins, because the cost is
quantified. The loser
wins, because the
relentless pressure on its
stock vanishes. I call it
"heads", ITW wins...
"tails", it wins too...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:Illinois Tool Works
Inc. (ITW)
is a great "new tech"
name... that deserves a
price-to-earnings
multiple... not the
lowly-worm one it's
getting now. And it
has a catalyst that should
drive the stock higher.
As soon as this bidding
war is over, ITW - at $52
- is a gift for you!
. . . .
.
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
Jim's comments BEFORE the
interview:
How often have you heard
some talking head declare
that hedge fund
speculators are causing a
big bubble in
commodities?...
Frankly, it's total
nonsense, but it's a
frequent explanation for
the endless and mystifying
price increases in
minerals, like coal and
iron... and things like
steel... oil...
Maybe there are some hedge
funds distorting these
markets, but my take?...
There's just way too much
demand for these
commodities worldwide, and
not enough supply.
Where do I get me thesis?
Why am I so cock-sure
about it?...
I do the homework...
I listen to calls...
I read analyst reports...
And I read press releases,
like the one that I read
this morning from
Joy Global (JOYG)...
okay... and others
just like it.
I want you to take a look
at the fabulous quarterly
earnings release this
morning from JOYG... which
is the leading maker of
underground and surface
mining equipment.
This is what I call a "new
technology" company,
solving mankind's
problems. I
recommended it on March
1st, for a 2.2% gain so
far. JOYG
raised guidance today from
$2.96-$3.22 to
$3.15-$3.30... That means
they raised the range.
Why?... Because it
says every single end
market it deals with is in
short supply of the
machines and
infrastructure needed to
get at coal and minerals.
You think the hedge funds
are inflating prices?
Just listen to what Joy
Global had to say in its
release, and I quote, "The
company continues to
benefit from unprecedented
demand for its underground
and surface mining
equipment in response to
the strong demand for
coal, copper, iron ore and
oil sands. The gap
in coal demand alone could
reach 60-100 million tons
this year."
I've got to tell you,
that's massive...
Even the U.S. - often
thought of as the Saudi
Arabia of coal - can't
make up for that amount.
How about steel
shortages?...
Again... caused by hedge
funds?... Are they
hoarding steel in their
Wall Street offices?...
Or could it be, as Joy
Global says, "both
metallurgical coal and
iron ore remain in
significant decline, and
some projections indicate
that steel shortages could
be 20-30 million tons, in
excess of what can be
produced."
Copper?... Can't
meet the demand either...
Why?... As emerging
markets - particularly
China and India - continue
to industrialize, their
demand for this stuff
becomes more and more
ravenous.
The result for Joy Global
is, indeed, joyous...
I see 3-5 years of
earnings visibility,
thanks to a 3-5 year
supply deficit... with the
U.S. as the only hope of
swinging production to
meet demand... which, of
course, means a dramatic
increase in the need for
the equipment that JOYG
makes.
I defy you to find me a
dozen companies in the
world with that kind of
earnings visibility...
How many can see that
clearly now?...
Let's stop the charade!...
U.S. interest rates don't
control the price of these
commodities! Raising
rates won't curb
inflation. All that
will do is make it harder
for the companies that
need JOYG's equipment, to
buy it... the very
equipment needed to knock
down prices eventually by
building inventories.
Hedge funds are not behind
the shortages.
Endless demand and a lack
of mining equipment are
responsible.
If you want to understand
this moment, you need to
understand Joy Global, not
the Fed... not the
imaginary hedge fund
boogey man...
And that's why we need to
speak to Michael
Sutherlin, the president
and CEO of JOYG... a man
who understands these
times better than anyone
else, and a man that we've
been putting our Mad Money
behind for some time...
Mr. Sutherlin, welcome to
Mad Money...
. . . .
.
Jim's comments AFTER
the interview:
Listen up, people...
You got a dramatic
increase in earnings
today in the
estimates...
You see long-term
demand for the
machines that bring
out coal and copper
and oil shale.
That's
Joy Global (JOYG).
If the copper
stocks... if the coal
stocks had been up
more today, this stock
would have been up
10%. Your
opportunity... right
here... in the $80s...
pull the trigger! This
company's got great
numbers for years and
years.
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
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Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >>
Symbol keys:
A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >>
Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself.
Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself.
Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
Helpful Websites:
See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.