Monday, 06/09/08
Posted 06/09/08,  10:39 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 06/09/08

  Dow Jones: 12,280  + 70
  NASDAQ:   2,459   - 15
  S&P 500:   1,361   + 1
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Hunting For Wildcatters'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)

See HK's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for HK here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        
JJC:    I listened to the belly-achers all day... It's starting to really get on my nerves... Instead of bemoaning the fact that we're now paying $4 a gallon at the pump... we'll probably be paying $5 in the not-too-distant future... Instead of freaking out, because a barrel of crude costs $134... Instead of taking what is, in my opinion, is the insane position that speculators are to blame for higher prices... or that the dollar is fueling the rise... Oh, like it's not going up in the other countries?... Hello... Blame the speculators, right... What do you think they're doing? Do you think they're hoarding barrels of crude in the basement?... In the attic?... Every place that you could possibly store the stuff - even if you are speculating - is taken. If every storage locker in this country were filled from top to bottom with barrels of oil, because it seems to me they'd have to be, if the speculators were really behind the long-term increase in price... They've got some tankers that are filled... They're not the reason either... As a matter of fact, that idea is even more nuts than I am...

I believe oil prices are high for three reasons... count 'em... three...

One... the old oil fields are running out.

Do you think the Saudis wouldn't want to take advantage of this? They're not refusing to increase production... because they've got a bad attitude... Believe me, they'd love to pump more oil, at these prices... They don't want it as an umbrella for alternative energy... but they can't! Last year, they needed double the rigs to produce the same amount of crude as they did the year before...

Two... second reason... New oil is harder to find and harder to get out of the ground than it has ever been.

It's either deep under the sea, or inaccessible, because of the weather or distance... The easy finds have all been made...

And three... Even as we can't increase the supply of oil anytime soon, demand is increasing astronomically, thanks to huge economic development in countries like China and India... and also the Gulf states...

Here are some stats...

We use 25 barrels of oil per person per year in this country. China and India are using 2 barrels (per person)... What do you think the odds are of that number doubling? I think they're pretty great.

On this show, we're not complaining about the high price of oil and gas...

Like every other thing we do in Mad Money, we are trying to make money off it... make money off the trend...

And that's why, this week, my friends, buddies and pals... is Wildcat Week, here on Cramer's Mad Money...

.  .  .  .  .

What is a wildcatter?...

It's a company that drills for oil and gas in new areas that haven't been exploited yet... I regard the wildcatters, which are the hottest of this stock market, as the Daniel Plainviews of the oil and gas business... That's right... this is "There Will Be Blood Week" (i.e., movie reference from Best Picture nomination in 2007) all over again... because these wildcatters are the companies that could actually increase supply by finding new oil...

When oil was much lower, none of these stocks would have worked... I would never have come to you with them... They were too expensive to drill on their prospects... not worth the effort... but the umbrella of higher crude prices has made wildcatting a potentially darn good business. It's been great for the domestic drillers, which we have favored here... You know which ones... 52-week high denizens... Nabors (NBR) and Halliburton (HAL).

We like wildcatters for oil and natural gas... and we like the ones that are after natural gas, especially... Why? Because 2008 is Cramer's year of natural gas... It's at $12 and change now... Anyone who's listened to this show one night a week knows that this has been my favorite group for the year. I've said natural gas is going to $16. But that was when oil was down at $100, so who knows how much higher natural gas - which is the cleaner, cheaper fuel - will go, before it catches up... And what would happen if one of the (U.S. presidential) candidates actually got behind natural gas?... And neither is...

This week's special... I've got five wildcatters... five of them... five stocks in the mold of Continental Resources Inc. (CLR)... a wildcatter where, if you remember, was part of a series on stocks where I whiffed... where I waited too long for the perfect pitch, and got called out on strikes... I kept waiting for CLR to come in when the stock was in the $20s and it never did...

Then I finally recommended it on May 9th, with the stock at $53.18. Now the stock's at $74. I finally said, you know what... discipline said get on... it's going higher... don't miss the move... and it gave us a humongous 39% gain, proving it wasn't too late to get behind a wildcatter...

There will be blood?... Let's try, there will be moolah...

.  .  .  .  .

The first wildcatter I'm giving you this week is Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)...

This independent driller, often asked about during the Lightning Round , is one of the lowest-cost producers in the group, behind only Southwestern Energy (SWN*) and Ultra Petroleum (UPL)... 90% natural gas... 1.1 trillion cubic feet of proven reserves...

It's drilling in west Texas, plus a small project in Oklahoma, along with a similar one in east central Texas... But the biggest drivers for HK are its assets in Fayetteville Shale in Arkansas... and Haynesville Shale in Louisiana. Get used to hearing about these two properties... they're gigantic.

HK is the second-largest driller in the Haynesville Shale, after Cramer-fave Chesapeake (CHK), whose CEO, Aubrey McClennan, I believe may be the best natural gas man in America... in addition to being a shrewd and endless buyer of his own stock... a recent one (buy) just last week...

There have been finds in the Haynesville Shale... one from Penn Virginia Resource Partners (PVR), which immediately went up 30% after the announcement... and another from Goodrich Petroleum (GDP), which gained 44% in the same period...

Since HK is the number two driller in the Haynesville Shale, it's expected to have 5-6 rigs operating 10 wells by the end of the year. Both of these finds are good for the stock, if only because they draw attention to other drillers in the area... but also because they prove it's been an area worth drilling in...

The company expects it can be potentially sitting on... these are big numbers, okay... 6.1 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in Haynesville. This is on top of another prospect, at Fayetteville Shale, where they expect HK to produce as much as 315 million cubic feet of natural gas this year... way up from last year... with what looks like plenty more coming, given that HK has as much as 3.2 trillion cubic feet of reserve potentially...

.  .  .  .  .

You see what I'm getting at?...

You know, the old online and the big integrated oil companies... they don't have finds like this... They're not upping their amount of production, because they can't... That's for wildcatters to do...

In this environment, I think HK may be a $48 stock, masquerading as a $35 stock.

Everyday this week, I am going to give you another wildcatter just like it. Now please understand... I am not backing away from the ones I've been behind all along, with this new series... Repeat after me... I still like Devon (DVN), Southwestern (SWN*), which I own for my charitable trust... XTO (XTO*), another charitable trust name... Apache (APA), Anadarko (APC), Chesapeake (CHK) and Ultra Petroleum (UPL)... I just want some new names, that people don't know about, to get you involved in this business.

Here's the bottom line...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      Under the umbrella of $134 or $130 or $125 or $120 (cost per barrel)...oil... it's time for the wildcatters to come out and play, which is why I think you should buy Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)... 

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


HK

35.45

36.95

Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)

Price target:  $48.00



DVN

119.25

118.01

Devon Energy (DVN)



SWN*

48.69

48.87

Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN*)



XTO*

67.72

69.24

XTO Energy Inc. (XTO*)



APA

141.99

141.00

Apache Corp. (APA)



APC

79.50

79.75

Anadarko Petroleum (APC)



CHK

60.08

60.56

Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK)



UPL

96.62

97.15

Ultra Petroleum (UPL)


 

 



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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: CEO Interview

Interview with
Michael Thaman, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Owens Corning (OC)

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:      Today, you got an opportunity to buy one of my favorite "new tech" stocks that's also a play on wind power, our favorite source of renewable energy on Mad Money...  It's 2009's fuel... because it's the cleanest and cheapest, at 4 cents a kilowatt...  And, aside from some geographic limitations, I think it's the best way to generate clean energy.

It also has a business that keeps growing and growing - and able to raise prices, to be able to make money - because oil's up so much...

And the stock is, yes, Owens Corning (OC)...

Now, I recommended this stock back on May 12th, at $24.74.  The stock then surged up to $28.50 on some positive developments.  Now it's right back... back to $24.82, the same price I recommended it...

OC a pastiche of a company... but not an enigma... to those who understand that companies can change their stripes... 

Most people think of this stock as a housing play.  They think it's the Pink Panther for the insulation business...   It also makes shingles and asphalt... not attractive right now, because those use a lot of energy... although the insulation business obviously has a green side...

It helps to save energy.  Insulation saves 48% of the energy in homes, and 30% in commercial buildings...  But that doesn't matter to those on Wall Street, who insist on viewing the OC as simply a housing play, and they don't like it...

Our opportunity...

I think they couldn't be more wrong, because there's another side to Owens-Corning, both larger - a faster-growing side - and that's the composite materials business... where OC takes glass fibers and combines them with other materials to create composites that are strong, durable, light and flexible.  These are the composites and components used by the wind industry, where you really need materials of incredible strength and flexibility and, just so we know... these things run hot... they run hot... people don't understand that... so you need a strong composite.

That's why I recommended the stock at $24 and change... Since then, OC has expanded its composite business in Russia and China... and the weaker looking construction-related businesses are looking to stay more stable, with OC's re-insulation business expected to grow at a 10% clip...  Again, profitable...

The entire insulation division is now expected to remain profitable for the whole year, in spite of the black hole of money that is the homebuilding industry, thanks to capacity management...

Remember, by the way, the ^HGX testing its low...  the housing industry... lots of the companies still in trouble... so we also have trepidation about the stock, after the run...

We'll find out more in a second...

The company expects its roofing and asphalt business to improve for the rest of the year, because of higher pricing and seasonality...

Now, you had a chance to buy OC at $24.74.  Now, even with the positive new developments, you can get it even cheaper. 

I smell opportunity...  but I want to get a clearer picture of OC, to help convince the skeptics, of which there are many, who are worried about its exposure to housing and energy costs... to make its product...

And that's why we're giving a Mad Money, triple-booyah welcome to Mike Thaman... He's the chairman and CEO of Owens Corning (OC)...  Sir, how are you... 

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:      I am so glad I got behind your company, and I think you've got another great opportunity to buy the stock at $24. 

 

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


OC

24.82

24.82

Owens Corning (OC)

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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