Tuesday, 06/17/08
Posted 06/17/08,  08:47 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 06/17/08

  Dow Jones: 12,160   - 108
  NASDAQ:   2,457    - 17
  S&P 500:   1,350    -  9
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Motor Skills'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)

See BEZ's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for BEZ here.



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        
JJC:    I want you to compare a company that makes better and better "shoot 'em up" games... to a company that I like... a company that you should buy...

And the company is... so boring, that I'm afraid to give you the title... 

It's called Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ).

BEZ is a "new tech" name that I'm endorsing today, and it makes... you've got it... energy-efficient electric motors...  You're looking at the stock of the future...

This is a company that allows other businesses to save money on power, and helps all of mankind, by reducing overall energy consumption...  unlike "old tech" companies whose new gadgets, with all their extra bells and whistles, actually cause us to consume more energy...

We know which one is better for the world, but I'm telling you again that I believe the "new tech" play is also better for your portfolio... and, boy, have they held up in the onslaught that we've been getting.  These hold up...  Why?  Because increasing energy efficiency is priority #1 for every business in every country on this planet.

That's a lot of demand... and it's why I like Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)!

.  .  .  .  .

Allow me to introduce you to BEZ, which makes industrial electric motors, the kind you need to run just about anything... That's 63% of their revenues. It's the motor company... It's not GM... No, this is real motors... power transmission equipment... something that's in short supply, especially in the United States, where our grid is in desperate need of renewal... That's 27% of their business. And generators, and drives that make up the last 10% (of their business).

BEZ is the consummate "new tech" company, and you know I'm going to drill these into your head, because they're making us money.

In fact, I have to tell you, I wish it were called "Baltech," because then you'd like it more... Baldor is not exactly a "sexy, can I"..."It's a Kodak, moment, go-and-get-your-camera" (referring to a current top pop song lyric by Ray J)...  stock, if you know what I mean...

.  .  .  .  .

20% of its total motor sales come from one line of engine, the "Super-E" line that is incredibly energy efficient. And, since 98% of the total lifetime cost of electric motors comes from electricity, that matters enormously. How about a 30 horsepower Super-E motor, running continuously?... $1200 per year on energy costs that it saves. You see, I'm trying to tell you that, with $1200 a year on energy savings, you can then go buy one of those DELL computers with that...

The pricing on these motors is about 20% higher than on regular ones, and you can see why. It's like a (Toyota Hybrid-engine) Prius, okay... Considering the electricity cost savings, this motor pays for itself in a few years.

.  .  .  .  .

Now, this "new tech" line of motors grows at 25%, compared to 10%, for the rest of BEZ's motor business, so it's going to be a bigger and bigger part of the company.

This is exactly what we look for in a "new tech" company... a product that addresses one of the 10 unmet needs of humanity... this need being the need to reduce energy consumption...

Those who thing (the price of) oil is up (due to) speculators... this one's not for you. I think oil's up because of demand. BEZ cuts the demand.

.  .  .  .  .

BEZ is also poised to benefit from the 2007 energy bill, which mandates that motors will have to be more efficient by the end of 2010. These efficiency standards apply to more motors than before, and BEZ believes that half of the motors will be affected... something that will result in at least 10% sales growth, just from the 2007 energy bill alone. That would be not until 2011 though.

Here's a word we like to use that you don't hear much with "old tech"... With "new tech" you've got it. It's called visibility. If all goes as planned, we could see this company's growth all the way into 2011, because of its super-efficient motors.

Now, we know there's a huge bull market for energy and energy-saving devices. BEZ taps into both of these with its energy-efficient motors, and its electrical transmission equipment.

BEZ's gone through a really transformational deal. It bought one of the companies... they bought Reliance... they also bought Dodge... It doubled their revenues. The deal gives BEZ more international exposure. The more rest of the world, the better, as far as Cramer's concerned. It broadened the variety of the products it sells and gave the company a new, more efficient, so-called "power lean" approach to manufacturing, which is being rolled out in BEZ's plants, and BEZ's "flex flow" materials handling approach is being rolled out in Reliance and Dodge plants... all of which should result in better operating margins...

.  .  .  .  .

I go into this, why... because I want you to understand... They have a better mousetrap that uses less energy, that they are trying to bring the cost down to produce for you, because it is the most expensive engine.

Now, the company is one of the few companies that I think... that celebrates a weak dollar, but they actually do it out loud... It's terrific CEO, John McFarland, said on a recent conference call, "It just burns me up everytime I hear people talk about a weak dollar. It also helps our domestic customers be more competitive internationally. It helps us be more competitive internationally, and it causes foreign products to be less competitive." In other words, what the CEO is saying is, he's killing the other foreign motor guys. He can build cheaper, but better, motors. We've seen this with Caterpillar (CAT). We've seen this over and over again with our trust belt stocks... We're the best manufacturer in the world, and now we're the cheapest, because of the weak dollar.

Despite being a "new tech" savior of mankind, BEZ is not well-liked, like a lot of the stocks I recommend. It's not well-liked... It's got a real high short position. 16% of the float is being shorted. People are betting against BEZ. I think this is because of BEZ's high debt. The company has a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 62%. That's a lot. I usually like them lower on the show. I think, though, it appears completely capable of paying off that debt. In fact, according to management, BEZ plans to bring its debt-to-capital ratio down to 30%, its historic level in two years. That's one year ahead of schedule.

Now look, I don't like debt, okay... A debt taken down to fund smart acquisitions, though... I like that. BEZ looks like it should have no trouble paying.

.  .  .  .  .

Now, in fact, I view the hatred of the stock - the high number of people betting against it - as a positive... because it has the potential to create a short squeeze on any good news... which would send the stock soaring.

Still... please don't pay up. One of the things we've seen on this show is that managements watch the show. The stock moves up, because you're overly enthusiastic, and they immediately issue stock. They immediately issue stock to try to pick you off. I fear that, if you buy this stock up big, the company will be motivated to bring on what is known as a secondary (stock offering). Let it go up over time. And then let them do the stock issuance to pay down debt at a much higher level.

BEZ is cheap. It trades at 12.9x forward earnings. Hey, it's got a growth rate of 13.7%. You know the rule of thumb... When the price-to-earnings multiple is lower than the growth rate, and the fundamentals are solid, that's a buy in my book.

Here's the bottom line for BEZ...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      For a "new tech" approach to energy-efficient electric motors... something we desperately need... I want you to forget the sexy stocks, and I want you to think of Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ).

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


BEZ

36.46

37.40

Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)


 

 



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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'Top Of The LINE'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)

See LINE's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for LINE here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...



JJC:    I truly believe that this is the most interactive show on television...  Your calls are where I get some of my best ideas.  I rely on you, just like you rely on me, when you call with a question.

So, here's a case in point...

Remember Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)...   My friend, Ralph from Texas called about it last Thursday...  So, of course, it's stump the chump...  I didn't know it.  I did look it up that night.  I did the research, just to be able to find out what LINE does and where it fits in.

And I told you about it Friday...

Over the weekend, where everyone else was having a great time, and doing the barbecue and Father's Day, I pulled up with LINE's annual (report), and spent a lot of time looking at LINE's filings...

And you know what?...  The more I dug deeper into it... the more I talked to my oil experts about it, I realized that I should have been recommending LINE the whole time, so I'm doing it tonight...

This is our next play on oil... which, by the way, everybody in the world thinks is going down. Do you mind if we continue to make money on it, while people say it's going down?...

.  .  .  .  .

This, by the way, is the process... what I did... from being stumped, to getting the reports, to then making the judgment... that you should follow when you get stumped with a stock that looks interesting, but you're not that familiar with it.

So you take your time, you do your homework... and you come up with a winner like LINE.

Now, this company is no wildcatter... LINE is not looking for new oil and gas. LINE is structured as what is called a Master Limited Partnership. I never recommend these stocks... it's too complicated. It's a turnaround play that exists to pay you a huge dividend, with a bountiful, beautiful 10.5% yield. Gentlemen... I like big yields and I cannot lie...

LINE focuses on pumping oil and gas out of mature fields, and then paying you most of their profits. The company has $1.7 trillion cubic feet of natural gas reserves. Hey... 7% in the mid-continent, and the Anadarko basin... Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas... friendly countries... And the rest coming from California and the Los Angeles basin... the Brea Olinda field.

LINE is 50% natural gas, 50% oil... We think it's good that they have so much natural gas because, in 2008, that's the year of natural gas... something I have repeated endlessly...

Now, LINE is more than just the fat 10.5% yield... I said it was a turnaround play.

.  .  .  .  .

The story of this company is that, a while ago, it bought a lot of different assets and its operations suffered, because it wasn't very good at working as a whole... So LINE sold a lot of stock in private placements to pay for its acquisition of Dominion Resources energy assets. This was a really big deal. That overhang of all those private placements really limited the stock's upside.

Now, these new shares seem to have worked their way through the system, allowing the apparent turnaround in the stock to truly begin.

The turnaround in the company started when LINE changed its strategy, selling off its non-core assets, and focusing on its core Texas and Oklahoma properties. They sold some land in our absolute favorite, Marcellus Shale... and are taking advantage of higher prices there, thanks to the land rights. Normally, I like companies that are buying into Marcellus Shale, but it doesn't make sense for a company like LINE, that doesn't want to spend too much money on drilling. They don't need a presence there.

Now LINE has the opportunity to take advantage of the land it bought from Dominion Resources. That's another $1.3 trillion feet of provable reserves. We have a lot of natural gas in this country. The politicians don't talk about it. They're silly. Dominion, which is primarily a utility, didn't have the ability to take advantage of this land, but LINE should.

Now this situation gives us a unique opportunity...

A stock with a huge dividend that may be also be poised to deliver some growth... Now why would we want that?... That's what I found. That's why I said I can't just leave it to Ralph in Texas (the original caller who stumped Jim)...

.  .  .  .  .

There's more to the turnaround too...

LINE could... could... I can't say definitely... implement a buyback under certain conditions. The closed sale of Marcellus properties and a high-yield debt offering... and a buyback... we could use it. I like buybacks.

Now, LINE has hedged most of its production, resulting in stable cash flows to support the dividend. I think that's playing it too safe, but it provides insurance for the great yield. The stock is pretty much ignored. All the money is going to the drillers. Not too many people on the Street want to pay for a boring dividend play like LINE. No one is pushing it. I don't care. But maybe you'd like a boring dividend play... Hey, how about one that yields 10.5% just to own the stock? They're paying you to wait until they potentially discover more reserves in Oklahoma and Texas...

This is why the stock market is so great!... What kind of business... what kind of investment is going to pay 10% while they wait to hit paydirt!...

Here's the bottom line...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      You gave me Linn Energy, LLC (LINE).  I went through the process, and I discovered that this looks like one great dividend plus growth play. 
And dividend+growth equals... buy, buy, buy!

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


LINE

24.50

25.07

Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
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