Monday, 07/07/08
Posted 07/08/08,  07:00 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 07/07/08

  Dow Jones: 11,231   - 56
  NASDAQ:   2,243     - 2
  S&P 500:   1,252   - 10
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Survival Guide'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

General market comments - about the way to survive this recession by moving into some healthcare stocks.

No specific stock pick until next segment,
below...

See Opening Segment 2, below...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

JJC:   Wall Street is brutal... It's a brutal fashion show!... The runway is littered with groups of stocks that go in and out of style... And, unfortunately for us, this is now recession season, so the competition to dethrone America's top earnings model has never been greater... but that doesn't mean everything goes out of style... That's why the notion of a bear market, falling prey to the thought that everything goes down, will get you in trouble. It will make you fearful of everything... even when everyone who's seen this show knows there's always a bull market somewhere, even now, after a vicious pasting...

So, tonight... and for the rest of the week... the whole week... because I think you guys have got to understand this... I'm going to present you, for your edification, the Cramerican Marine Field Guide to Recessions...

What I think this bear market is all about... An oil-induced recession...

What works in the Wall Street fashion show... what gets the big-money guys to turn their heads and say... ahhh... I want to own that right now... or, I want to dump that right now... That's the exact situation we're in...

Well, first you need to know a little bit more about how to play the game...

The next time we have a trading rally like the one we had earlier in the day, or even that last bit of rally at the end of the day... I want you to use it... use it to take profits in some of the winning stocks we've talked about for a long time... and re-position yourself into defensive, recession stocks and raise some cash.

I'm telling you this today because, like this morning, I might not be there to notify you the next time we get a rally... I may not be ringing...

Now, it's not like we've been unaware that the economy has been bad on this show... I mean, come on... But there have been whole groups of stocks that held up for a long time... First it was the exporters, then the rest of the worlders... the ones that have 50% overseas... the weak dollar plays. I don't think they will outperform the next few months, even though I still like the companies...
 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      The export-oriented names that have been working for us for so long, ever since we coined the term ROW-er... they seem to be going out of style for now... I say the way to play this recession is to move into some healthcare stocks. Which ones? You've got to stick with Cramer after the break, and for the whole week...

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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


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General market comments - about the way to survive this recession by moving into some healthcare stocks.

No specific stock pick until next segment,
below...



     

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'Genetic Makeup'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Genentech Inc. (DNA)

See DNA's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for DNA here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .


JJC:    Welcome back to the Cramerican Marine Field Guide to Recessions!...  And how to make money... while the bears seem to be reigning triumphant over most, but not all, of the market...  because, as any good Cramerican knows, there is always a bull market somewhere...

I just laid out the 1990 scenario for you... That was the last time we had a financial meltdown... where I think you want healthcare stocks, especially biotech, because they're the ones that could actually make you money in this situation. Yes, as bad as it seems now for Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), Lehman Brothers (LEH), Wachovia Corp. (WB)... it was bad then too...

You see, there were winners in 1990, when Citi nearly went under... in biotech... and I think they'll do it again...

And what I really thought was amazing was that it wasn't even good biotech... the second-tier biotech stocks did well too...

How about an example?... How about an example of what I think is going to work this time?...

Did you see that job on Genentech Inc. (DNA) that The New York Times printed over the weekend?... [Costly Cancer Drug Offers Hope, but Also a Dilemma, July 6, 2008]... I mean, this was just an extremely negative article... I have to tell you, it had nothing new. You see, the press loves to grandstand about drug companies overcharging for life-saving or life-extending drugs. I read the article... well-written, well-edited, and I don't think it landed a glove... not a glove on DNA... and yet the stock was down $2 bucks, or 2.6%, today...

Now, a lot of local papers wouldn't print this up... It's The New York Times for heaven's sake...

The stock's under a momentary cloud. I think it probably will be for several days, but none of that should matter if DNA could deliver good earnings and good sales of