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Thursday, 07/10/08
Posted 07/10/08, 11:51
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Thursday, 07/10/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
11,145 |
- 238 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,234 |
- 59 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,244 |
-29 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Untapping
Profits' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured Stock(s): |
Hospira Inc. (HSP)
See HSP's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
HSP
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: I just
want a couple more days
like today, a little extra
money... After the
shalacking we took
yesterday and today's
totally crazy action, a
rally in the face of
potential insolvencies
involving everything
financial... You need the
Cramerican Marine Field
Guide to Recessions more
than ever...
Our week long series, or
some would say, obsession,
on how you can try to make
money still in this market
without worrying about
oil, without worrying
about
Fannie Mae (FNM),
Freddie Mac (FRE),
whatever...
All week I've been
recommending healthcare
stocks as a way to play
our current unhappy
economic situation... Not
because anything has
changed in the healthcare
business, but because I
believe that money
managers are suddenly
afraid that companies in
practically every other
sector will miss their
numbers, either because of
higher raw cost or slowing
economy... With healthcare
stocks they've got nothing
to fear... It's kind of
like FDR, right?... Not
even stocks themselves...
And that's why I see a
sector rotation - just
Wall Street jibberish for money coming out of some
sectors and flowing into
other ones... In
this case, healthcare...
and sending those stocks
higher as the big money
guys are now willing to
pay a lot more for the
safe, boring, consistent
growth of healthcare
stocks, where they don't
have to worry about the
earnings falling apart...
With the olympics coming
up, of course on the same
network as my Sunday night
special, "The American
Dream with Jim Cramer" at
7 pm on NBC, you will most
likely catch some
volleyball... They rotate
in that game... Does it
freak you out that they
rotate?... This kind of
rotation is just as much
business as usual on our
court as it is on that
one... That's why I've
been recommending
healthcare stocks all
week...
And it's why I'm telling
you that I think
Hospira Inc. (HSP)
is a buy... This is a
company that is
penetrating new markets,
and transforming itself, a
transformation that I
don't think the Street is
paying enough attention
to... HSP is going from a
boring, old drug delivery
and medication management
company, don't buy, to one
that has higher margins
and a faster growing
oncology segment, that in
my opinion, doesn't get
enough credit for...
Nobody seems to care about
this company, because it
was spun off from
Abbott Laboratories (ABT*),
a stock I recently bought
for
my charitable trust... ABT dumped
HSP in 2004 and the
company got to a rocky
start, it was yeah, it was
one that just upset people
right from the shoot...
But now it looks like it's
recovering, giving us
seven straight quarters
where it meet or beat the
earnings expectations...
HSP has got two kinds of
business, boring and
sexy... But even the
boring ones should be good
in times like this... This
company is the number one
maker of specialty
injectable
pharmaseuticals, they call
them SIP's... mostly
generic drugs in the
United States...
Basically the company
creates packages and
distributes 190 generic
injectable drugs in more
than 900 dosages and
formulations in this
country... The drugs range
from Anagesia, anastesia,
anti-infective,
cardio-vascular, and now
oncology drugs, the last
one is new... The company
has 40 more of these so
called SIP's in its
pipeline...
This ain't a sexy business
okay?... This is not sexy
can I go and get your
camera, it's a Kodak
moment... Mmm, I think
that's now #18...
All right, anyway, in 2006
it was $5.8 billion
business, and HSP has a
17% market share, the
number one player, which
is nothing to frown at...
One more thing about HSP's
injectable business, it is
poised to take over Japan
as surely as McArthur in
1945... The Japanese
government, which pays for
85% of Japan's healthcare
costs, is making a big
move to use more generic
drugs... Right now, about
16% of the drugs sold in
Japan are generics,
compared to over 50% in
the US, and 43% in
Canada... The Japanese
want to get their generic
utilization up to 30%...
I don't like the generic
drug stocks, you know
that... I mean, last night
I had a call on that
Teva Pharmaceutical
Industries Ltd. (TEVA),
it's like shoes, I said
ix-nay on that... But, it seems to
me that HSP could be a big
beneficiary here, because
they're selling generic
injectable drugs to
hospitals, not
individuals, and I think
the uptake from
businesses, which want to
cut costs and use more
generic drugs, will be a
lot higher than from
regular Japanese people...
General perception in
Japan is that generics are
no good...
I think HSP is the way to
play Japan's push for
generic drugs...
Now, HSP is also number
two in medication
management systems, which
is all about making
electronic drug delivery
pumps, saftey software,
administration sets, and
yes, those sets are used
to deliver IV fluids...
And medication, hospitals
go for this stuff because
it decreases medical
errors, like the one props
has just done here for
me... This is a $1.2
billion market in 2006,
and HSP has got 28% of
it... These are the
boring, old business...
But back on February of
last year, HSP bought
MAYNE, giving HSP an
injectable oncology
portfolio, which is
much sexier than other
generic injectables... It
also gave the company a
bigger international
footprint, which should be
helpful when it comes to
taking over Japan... The
main acquisition is all
about revenue growth, 17%
revenue growth just in
2007, see what I mean?...
That's the consistant
growth that these
portfolio managers want...
So now we got a dull,
boring injectable generic
drug company that has a
fast growing oncology
franchise, that I think is
again, poised to take over
Japan... HSP's management
is gong-ho about cutting
costs, shutting down its
manufacturing facilities,
consolidating them... Over
the last two years the
company has shut down five
facilities, the last one
was just in April...
That's going to add $.09
to the company's 2010
earnings...
In general, HSP has been
doing a great job with
increasing its
profitability, upping its
operating margins from
14.9% in 2004, to 16.9%
last year... It's
targeting 19.9%... So, the
margins are going up, the
earnings are consistant,
this is what the portfolio
managers want... In the
fashion show, more
revenue, higher margins
and Japan, this one is a
triple threat... It's just
two points above its
52-week low... I could see
the $39 stock going to $46
easily, an 18% gain...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Japan, oncology, cost
cutting, I think
Hospira Inc. (HSP)
has got what we want from
a Healthcare stock in the
Cramerican Marine field
guide to Recessions... I
think you should take down
some HSP.
. . . .
.
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

|
HSP |
39.02 |
na |
Hospira Inc. (HSP)
Price target: $46.00
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TEVA |
45.00 |
na |
Teva Pharmaceutical
Industries Ltd. (TEVA)
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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