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Tuesday, 07/15/08
Posted 07/16/08, 06:57
am ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Tuesday, 07/15/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
10,962 |
- 92 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,215 |
+ 2 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,214 |
- 2 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Plan of Action' |
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
No specific stock picks.
General comments.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: This show
is about making money...
Some people want to keep
you from making money,
they want to bet against
you if you own stocks...
These people are called
short sellers... They
profit from when your
stocks go down... There's
nothing wrong with that...
I shorted stocks, myself
when I worked in money
management... It's
perfectly legal... But,
for the last year, the
shorts have had too much
of an edge over you as a
stock owner because the
SEC hasn't been doing its
job enforcing laws that
protect you... The short
sellers have been knocking
your stocks down left and
right with impunity...
They've been ripping your
lungs out... The SEC woke
up today and said it might
start enforcing laws that
protect you from short
selling rip offs, at least
when it comes to some of
the financials... I'm
going to give you the
whole skinny later in the
show about how the tables
may soon be turned in your
favor, and even how you
can help them be turned...
But tonight, let's first
talk about making money,
not just protecting it...
I think Thursday, that's
right, this week's
Thursday, is going to be a
landmark day for Wind
Power... Wind Power!...
our favorite source of
renewable energy... that's
clean and cheap and at
only $.04 a kilowatt,
wow!... What a steal...
Why is it a big day?...
Because of Docket number
33672 of the Texas public
utility commission... The
wind power initiative, for
what I think is the most
important wind state in
the union... I am
confident that when we
look back at this week,
we'll be saying, Remember
Docket number 36672, like
we say, Remember the
Alamo... Ah, maybe not...
But the great state of
Texas is planning to move
the biggest bottleneck to
the creation of wind
farms... Just like this
one, that props came up
with... Now, the
difficulty connecting
these farms, which are in
remote areas, to the
electric grid, is what
Thursday's commission is
going to be talking
about... The commission is
planning to discuss and
could issue a final order
to create eight repetitive
renewable energy zones,
the plan which will be
huge, huge, for companies
with wind exposure, is to
build out grid
infrastructure first, so
that companies will come
in and develop wind farms
without the fear of being
permanently cut off from
the grid... I think this
will be a gigantic
catalyst for this nascent
industry, even bigger,
well I don't know, yeah,
even bigger than those
great Boone Pickens ads...
All right, so I'm not
Boone Pickens, but I've
got a great pinwheel...
The plan should send the
wind stocks higher... All
of them... The great thing
about this Texas project
is that it sets a
precedent of government
support for state wind
power that I think could
be easily duplicated in
other states... It makes a
much safer prospect to
build wind forums... I
say, Look out, Holland,
Texas could become the
next windmill king... All
right, so with this in
mind, I want to revisit
the Mad Money Windex,
which has been absolutely
hammered over the last
month and a half and took
even more damage today as
oil plummeted, people
dumped wind stocks like
the whole story was over,
when in fact, as of
Thursday, the wind power
thesis will be better than
ever... The Mad Money wind
index is a group of ten
stocks levered to the
growth of wind power that
I picked out on May 28th,
which I believe is an
accurate indicator of the
overall wind trend...
Since then, the stock
market has plummeted, and
our Windex is down too,
it's down 11.8% percent,
and today, with oil down,
these wind stocks are
being sold as though no
one will ever think of
using wind power because
of a pull back in crude...
The index is not levered,
for heavens sake, to
crude... It's levered to
public utility commissions
all over America... And
they will take their cue
from this hearing and
several others in the
coming months in Texas
that will put wind front
and center... Because
there are only a handful
of stocks that are truly
plays on wind, we had to
go looking for stocks that
had smaller wind
businesses... We couldn't
just come up with, you
know... It's not like
there is just the wind
company... It doesn't
happen... We've got ones
that we expect to grow
quickly because of the
wind boom... That's part
of the reason why the wind
index is down so hard... A
lot of the stocks in it
are levered to industrial
activity... When I say
levered, I mean they're
geared to, they're
sensitive to industrial
activity... And those are
some of the stocks that
have been really crushed
lately...
So in the wind index we've
got
Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN),
a stock that I own for
my charitable trust where I play
with an open hand...
That's down 19.7%... The
railcar company with a
side line in making wind
towers that we think is
worth as much as the whole
railcar business... And
you know what?... We think
it better be because from
what we can see, the tank
car business is just plain
bad...
We've got
Thomas & Betts Corp. (TNB),
down 19%... Another
industrial player that
makes electrical
components... But since it
does it for wind towers
too, we still like it...
Owens Corning (OC),
now we had the CEO on, we
know things are doing
great there... That's a
consummate new tech stock
that makes the composite
materials for the blades
of windmills, that's down
20%...
Clipper Windpower (CRPWF.PK),
down 22%... I think that's
because this one is a turn
around story...
Kaydon Corporation (KDN),
which makes bearings for
wind turbines, 15.8%
down...
Broadwind Energy, Inc. (BWEN.OB),
another wind tower play is
down 18%...
Woodward Governor Co. (WGOV),
a pastiche of a company
that makes power systems
for the wind turbines...
Nacel Energy
Corporation (NCEN.OB)
is down 11%...
MasTec Inc. (MTZ),
with its wind farm
construction and repair
business is down 1.6%...
And
Vestas Wind ADR (VWDRY.PK),
the full service wind
power company from Denmark
is down 1.9%... Look, this
should tell you
something... The real play
on wind has been able to
survive this awful
market...
And finally,
Otter Tail Corp. (OTTR),
is actually up 15.8%...
Our big win winner, as
this utility seems to
finally be getting credit
for its wind tower
business...
Overall, the stocks we
like that are associated
with wind pulled back
hard... I don't think it's
because of wind... It's
because of their other
businesses... I believe
these stocks are just
victims of a weakening
global economy, and an
already weak US economy...
But we like them now, just
like how we originally
liked them... Because we
think the small wind
portions of their business
will grow to become much
larger parts of the
companies... The more wind
heavy stocks, other than
Clipper Wind, which I said
a speculative turn around
story, like MTZ, Vestas
and OTTR, have actually
done pretty well, which
proves the wind thesis
rocks... I think this is
an incredible buyable pull
back in the Wind Index...
How great is it that these
stocks are so much cheaper
than they were on May 28th
even though on Thursday, I
predict that they're about
to get the biggest boost
they've ever had from the
great state of Texas...
This is why I love wind so
much here... So remember
Docket number 36672... I
say a chicken in every
pot, and a windmill in
every backyard... Another
point in winds favor...
California and the
mid-west are also seeing a
solid increase in
connection requests... As
in connection to the
grid... From renewable
energy operators... Mostly
wind farms... And these
states are being forced to
streamline the process...
Making the adoption of
wind energy in this
country even faster.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The wind index stocks are a case of
the market throwing the baby out with
the bathwater, or the chicken out with
the bathwater, when things get bad...
But the thesis behind these stocks has
never been stronger... Thanks to Texas'
plan to build out energy transmission
infrastructure in areas where wind farms
can work efficiently... Not only do I
love wind plays here, but if you stick
with Cramer, I'm going to give you a
brand new wind company that I'm adding
to the Mad Money Wind Index... [see
that recommendation]
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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No specific stock picks.
General comments.
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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