After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
na
na
na
Mad Mail
Re: Boone
Pickens'
campaign for oil
independence
Q:
Would you ever
consider joining
Boone Pickens'
campaign for oil
independence?
I know that you
believe in the
cause and I'm
sure that a
series of TV ads
featuring your
high-energy
persona would
force both
parties to
address this
critical issue
in a meaningful
way.
Jim:
I can't... I'm
not allowed to
do that stuff.
I did go out
with Aubrey
McClennan, who
is in a lot of
the ads.. on
Tuesday night,
we went to
Sparks... and I
said that, if
there were ever
a cause that I
would quit my
job for, it
would be that
one. I'm
locked up here
for a long time.
I don't want to
quit my job.
But I believe in
natural gas, and
I believe that
we can be energy
independent.
It's cleaner
and, most
importantly, it
would provide a
lot of jobs...
we'd be free
from the
shackles of the
Middle East.
So, yes, I wish
I could, and I
wish those guys
the best of
luck.
Q:
Are you still
high about NVO?
I am getting
worried that
this one is
going south more
than it's going
north. Do
you still think
NVO is a buy
before the
September
meeting?
Jim:
Remember that I
said that I had
gotten that
wrong,
short-term...
and I could not
believe that
they did not, on
their conference
call, address
the new drug and
give us a
timeframe.
Until they
address the new
drug and give us
a timeframe...
it's the
diabetes drug...
we're going to
be in purgatory
with this one.
They've got to
break out the
timeframe.
Q:
I am in the
house of pain in
many of my "new
tech" stocks.
Now that China
has disappeared,
should we
abandon ship?
In particular,
with MDR and
Parker Hannifin (PH)?
Jim:
I think PH is
terrific and I
would not sell
it here... but,
remember,
there's a
Boeing (BA)
strike...
It has lowered
expectations and
it's deeply
involved with
Europe, which
has gotten
weaker...
MDR is coal.
And, at this
point, if people
think Obama is
going to win,
coal is done
for... and that
is really going
to hurt MDR.
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Second
Segment
Opening Segment 2
Title:
'Cramer's
Game Plan
For Next Week'
. . . .
.
Featured Stock(s):
General Stock Comments.
No specific stock picks.
After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
Jim: Hey, uh...
Weren't we supposed to crash
today?...
Wasn't this supposed to be the
big one?... The selloff to end
all selloffs?...
Oh, sure, some of the selling
pressure abated, and we rallied,
because the nare-do-well hedge
funds that were in trouble
finished their selling to meet
their redemptions...
But when you're down enough in
that game, they make you give
the money back in the fifth
business day, which is Monday,
so the selling ended, at last,
today... They get the money,
they give the money back to
investors on Monday... But
judging by the big, and entirely
unexpected, rally in the
financials, I think there's
something bigger afoot...
Now, after that nasty Labor
Department (i.e., Jobs') number
this morning, that's now taken
us to over 6% unemployment...
after the tremendous historical
collapse in all commodities...
after the remarkable run in the
dollar... and, after the
earnings debacles we've seen in
pretty much every sector, except
those you can smoke, drink or
eat... it is just amazing to me
that nobody's talking about the
Fed... get this... the Fed
slashing rates! Nobody...
All we hear about is that
they're about to raise rates...
All we hear about is any day
now, that it's time to take them
up...
And I'm here to tell you that
that is absolute nonsense after
today.
Now, interest rates are
plummeting... the regular
rates... not the Federal Funds
rates that the Federal Reserve
controls...
We are obviously going to
experience not a slowdown, after
we saw the employment report,
but a recession...
Now, we aren't getting any
relief from anybody... from the
Federal Reserve or from the
Treasury Department.
Now, you heard Bill Gross...
he's the biggest bond buyer in
the world (i.e., at Pimco), give
a "boo-yah Hank" in his
newsletter yesterday... He is
saying that (Treasury Secretary,
Hank) Paulson, this weekend,
right now, has to clean up the
mess that we've been saying...
that is now 12 days overdue...
and buy hundreds of billions of
dollars in
Fannie Mae (FNM)
and
Freddie Mac (FRE)
common... the common stock,
preferred and, of course, their
bonds. It's imperative, if we're
going to get through this... and
there's talk that it could
happen imminently that we need
to resolve the mortgage
situation. Oh man, it would be
bullish if Paulson listened to
Gross, and backstopped FNM and
FRE... because it is so bad for
those two knuckleheads...
But, all I hear about is, when
is the Fed going to tighten
(i.e., increase rates)?...
After today - after this
morning's number - let's put
that question to rest once and
for all... The Fed would
tighten, when things are far,
far better than they are now...
Now, this is just forgotten...
it drives me crazy. Do you know
just a few years ago, the
sainted Alan Greenspan (i.e.,
former Federal Reserve Chairman)
took rates down to 1%?... At the
end of 2003, he took rates down
to 1%... That's 50% below where
we are now... And, believe me,
things were nowhere near as bad
in this country back then, as
they are now... nowhere... not
even close.
So, beginning next week, and
we're anticipating this on our
show tonight, you will begin to
hear a new drum beat... We need
another rate cut...
Consider everything... every
single thing that has kept the
Fed from lowering rates, or has
given the hawks ammo to actually
raised rates, has changed
virtually overnight...
Gasoline... That was at $4.25,
going to $5.00... Right here,
it's going to $3.00...
Employment... It held up pretty
well, right? Not anymore, that's
out the window... We've got real
job losses, scads of them...
All those commodities...
Remember when steel was out of
control? Remember when copper
couldn't stop... grain going to
$16... how about iron? How about
zinc? They are all getting
obliterated...
Natural gas... down 45%.
So many people were worried
that, if the Fed cut again, the
dollar would be annihilated.
Well, guess what? The dollar is
screaming right here. I went to
Paris in April, like a fool, and
now the dollar's about 10% more
valuable than it was when I took
my trip... and it isn't
stopping...
But now we actually need to stop
the dollar's climb, just stay
competitive, and a rate cut
could do that.
How about retail?... Did you
read one article that didn't say
that retail's the worst
environment in years? Is that a
good situation to raise rates?
Hey, we should raise rates,
because no one's making any
money in retail...
How about housing?... Your house
should lose about another $500
in value between now and our
next commercial break... and, by
the 11pm version of our show,
you're house will lose about
another $780... But, you know
what? Those values are not in
the consumer or producer price
indicies, so you don't hear
about them... and the Fed
obviously doesn't seem to care
about that incredible
deflationary story...
Yes, we are in the grips - not
of inflation - but of the most
major deflation in this
country's history, except for
the Great Depression... and the
Fed needs to step up and answer
the call, and it ain't raising
rates, even if the Fed thinks
it's done...
I had hoped that we wouldn't
even need more rate cuts... but
I had the guts to call for them
last year and now, tonight, I am
saying, unfortunately, because
of the employement number, we've
got to go back at them...
We need them now, and we need
the mortgage mess resolved,
using the Bill Gross plan - we
need a resolution mortgage trust
- and it will make a difference,
despite the canard that lower
rates won't do it...
Now, I believe a big reason why
we didn't crash today, as we
were supposed to... is that the
rate cut theory that I just
espoused is just now percolating
under the radar...
I believe, next week, all of the
fools, knuckleheads, morons...
whatever you want to call
them... would say that we need a
rate increase... They will all
be replaced from the airways...
even so gradually that we'll
start seeing "cut-rate" people
come on... and Fed, inject money
into Fannie and Freddie... and
Treasury, buy some mortgages,
and go public with the
resolution mortgage trust...
like the FDIC is quietly doing
right now, and why we
recommended
BB & T Corp. (BBT)
earlier this week...
And we've got to get America
moving again... I mean, this was
a wakeup call this morning... I
am not a political guy, but it
is amazing to me how neither
major candidate is talking about
the need for lower rates, and
injecting cash into the mortgage
market... or creating a
resolution mortgage trust.
Memo to candidates... you want
to get elected? It ain't drill,
drill, drill.... Save our
homes...
I think, beginning next week,
you'll hear people saying that
the bond market is speaking
softly now, but soon it will be
loud...
We are free to cut rates again,
to rebuild the bank's capital...
and we now, with this employment
number, can make the move.
Your Game Plan for next week is
to continue to buy more of our
recommended banks and brokers...
You know that we said that group
bottomed... but, before we start
hearing these voices... before
the sensible advice drives the
stock up...
Now, we still had a horrible
week, despite the great close
today... one that was absolutely
deadly... And yet, it's worth
remembering that we have not
taken out those July 15ht lows
that we were talking about,
which are still substantially
below where we are.
I think they hold. I am not
backing down, even if the
catcalls, and the criticisms and
the usually slagging that would
make me unable to get out of bed
each morning, if I took it
seriously...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The July 15th lows in housing and
banking consumer stocks will hold. Not
the commodities... they will go lower.
All the nonsensical talk of rate hikes
will vanish, and will gradually be
replaced by talk of rate cuts, and
you'll be hearing about a Federal
Reserve/Treasury plan to save Fannie and
Freddie...
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
na
na
na
General Stock Comments.
No specific stock picks.
Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
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Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >>
Symbol keys:
A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >>
Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself.
Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself.
Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
Helpful Websites:
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known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.