Monday, 09/08/08
Posted 09/09/08,  07:03 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 09/08/08

  Dow Jones: 11,510 + 290
  NASDAQ:   2,269  + 13
  S&P 500:   1,267  + 25
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
Opening Segment 1
Title:
'Wall Of Shame'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

No specific stock picks.

No specific stock picks.  Just updated the Mad Money Wall of Shame...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim:  
It's time go to the Mad Money Wall of Shame... that special place reserved for only the most inept of CEOs... managers so bad, you'd suspect they were shorting their own stocks, because of their incompetent, strange credulity...

I consider this wall the last bastion of accountability in the western world... I know there's none at the Fed, because Bernanke would have been tossed out on his keister months ago... I mean, causing a trillion dollars in losses, while fiddling about inflation, when deflation was the problem?... And home values were burning?...

If there were any accountability at Treasury, Fannie and Freddie would have been placed into conservatorship well before today... But, you know what? Better late than never...

At least, today, we can know that accountability still exists at one particular firm... and that firm is WM, where the board finally ousted Kerry Killinger, their CEO, and perhaps the greatest destroyer of value since Ganges Khan... or, perhaps, Attila The Hun...

Killinger ranks just below Jerry Yang, of Yahoo! (YHOO), on the Wall of Shame, making him in my opinion the second worst CEO in the world...

Now Killinger leaves the five members of the Wall of Shame, and becomes the 17th name to be removed from the list... 17 executives that I put on the Wall of Shame... 11 that were subsequently fired or resigned... and 3 were taken off when they were moved to positions where their bungling couldn't do as much damage as what we used to have... or, at least, couldn't do as much harm...

When I put Kerry Killinger on the Wall on November 5th of 2007, WM's stock was at $24. A year ago, it was at $34. Today, WM is a lowly-worm $4.12 stock, down 82% from when Killinger joined the ranks of the infamous...

Killinger was the biggest, most aggressive subprime lender of the major savings and loans. Given how reckless this guy was, I think it's amazing how long this guy held on, and how much he was paid... $5.2 million in total compensation in 2007, even as the stock fell 69.9% that year...

I still have my doubts about this great board here... because, at the same time as the firing, the office bad boys at the Office of Thrift Supervision made them come up with an improved risk management and compliance plan...

Now I can't think of a better way to improve risk management than to fire Kerry Killinger...

I have to tell you that I think it was the Office of Thrift Supervision, and not the bank's board, that really forced the change.

Oh boy, but we've got an opening... albeit, perhaps, temporary... We've got an opening on the Wall of Shame, and I have the perfect guys for the spot...

Three analyst stooges, who were recommending Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac... That's right... saying these two were buys, right into the nuclear attack... right into the nuclear cataclysm that drove Fannie, down $6.31 to 73 cents today... and Freddie, down $4.22 to 88 cents... not even bus fare.

These three honorary members are... Bruce Harding of Lehman Brothers... why don't we call him "Larry".... Marco Vallegas of J.P. Morgan... or "Curly"... and Bradley Ball of Citigroup, a.k.a., "Moe"... Look, "Schemp" fans, I'm sorry...

Back on August 22nd, Moe from Citigroup wrote, "we expect shareholders' interest to be preserved. The government-sponsored enterprises should continue to be the most effective in their current, shareholder-owned form."

Good call Moe!...

He, of course, downgraded the stocks to "sell" today, after they were already reduced to lottery tickets.

Now, Larry at Lehman, had a great line about Fannie Mae, back on August 28th, when he wrote, "Capital reserve's better than perceptions." It sounds to me like Larry got poked in the eyes one too many times.

But Curly, over at J.P. Morgan, he takes the cake... He hasn't written about Fannie or Freddie since he labeled them "overweight" - Wall Street jibberish for "buy" - back on May 22nd... not even bothering to post an update today... Maybe Curly didn't get* the news...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Now that Kerry Killinger (Washington Mutual (WM) former CEO, just fired) has been ousted, and Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) are in the process of being taken over by the Feds, I think justice has been served... although I still fear a takeunder with that WM common stock...  On the other hand, it Larry, Curly and Moe - the three analysts that were recommending FNM and FRE - were stocks, guess what... they'd be sell, sell, sell!... 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

na

na

na

No specific stock picks.

No specific stock picks.  Just updated the Mad Money Wall of Shame...

 

     

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
 
 

Opening Segment 2 Title:

'On Solid Ground?'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

JPMorgan (JPM*)
US Bancorp
(USB)
Bank of America
(BAC)
Wells Fargo
(WFC)
Wachovia Corp.
(WB)...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim:   C'mon... tonight, we've got some resolutions to do here... That's right. Tonight, we take the mortgage mess chart off, because the Treasury Department's plan to nationalize Fannie and Freddie is, I think, a big game changer. In my opinion, the plan is brilliant, and I'm not just saying that because, well, I've been calling them to do this plan for months... I'm saying it because it could do some lasting good, if you own a home, or are trying to buy one. Because today, you're better off than you were Friday.

Now, I know a lot of you understand that the government takeover of Fannie is a good thing. The market wouldn't have rallied over 300 points this morning, and closed up 290 points, if it wasn't.

But you don't know why... and you hear the naysayers on TV all day... They're saying, like, this isn't a panacea... it's not a cure-all... Hey, no one ever said it was. It may not be a cure-all, but it's definitely a "cure some"... even a "cure a lot"...

And, not only will I tell you why, I'm also going to give you some stocks you should buy, off the Treasury's long-awaited decision to annihilate Fannie Mae...

A government takeover of Fannie and Freddie should mean more money for more mortgages... at cheaper prices. It means a slowing of the tsunami of foreclosures... and it means - I'm more certain than ever - that your house will stop losing value on June 30th... I now feel even better about my June 30th - 296 more days until your house stabilizes - housing bottom chart.

How does the nationalization of these nare-do-well mortgage lenders lead to the situation I just described?...

Last week, before we knew about the government takeover, our economy was locked in a vicious circle, caused by house price depreciation. So many institutions had better residential real estate, using so much leverage that, if housing prices didn't start recovering, I really worried that we were looking at a financial apocalypse the likes of which we've never seen before... yes, not even in the Great Depression... the worst financial calamity even since 1932... and the falling price of homes was at the absolute heart of the bearish problem.

Since 2005, we've seen double-digit declines in house prices... declines that have made many houses bought since 2005 worth less than their mortgages. That means for a lot of homeowners, it made sense to default, to walk away... to let the bank foreclose on your house... and more foreclosures lead to lower home values which lead to, yes, more foreclosures, and that was the vicious cycle...

Here's how the Treasury department - by taking over Fannie and Freddie - can break that cycle...

Fannie and Freddie, together, are more than half of the bad mortgages in the system... Soon, these mortgages will belong to the Federal Government... Once that happens, anything can be worked out with the troubled homeowners. The Feds can reduce the mortgage payments, they can extend the terms of the mortgage, give you a 30-year fixed, where you used to have a pick and pay... one of these just ridiculously difficult, exotic mortgages...

Because, the government, unlike Fannie and Freddie, can take almost any hit to keep you in your house.

With Fannie and Freddie nationalized, there should be no reason for you to walk away from your home... That should lead to a dramatic reduction in the rate of foreclosures... fewer homes coming into the market... in addition to the enormous reduction in the amount of money people owe on their mortgages.

But that's not all...

By nationalizing Fannie and Freddie, the Treasury has just about guaranteed that mortgage rates for everyone else will go lower!...

These two companies were keeping mortgage rates artificially high, because they were having trouble selling their mortgage-backed paper. People didn't trust the implicit government guarantee... Now the guarantee is, well, they're treasuries...

Given the low interest rates we have in this country, and the freefall in home prices, some homes are - get this, stop trading - actually cheaper now, than they were before the housing bubble started.

The incentives in the recent housing legislation to encourage people to buy homes... the 60% decline in home building two years ago... there's finally an incentive... not just for troubled homeowners to stay in their homes, but for you to buy a home, to come out of the woodwork and actually purchase one.

I was quoted a rate that was a half-point lower than I got on Friday, and them's real dollars if you're buying a house.

This move should bring the credit markets back to life a little more... Again, no cure-all... We won't have to worry about the viability of a Wachovia Corp. (WB) or of a Bank of America (BAC). Let's forget about Wells Fargo (WFC) is in trouble... Maybe even a Washington Mutual (WM), but more on that in a second, especially now that Kerry Killinger's been given the boot... Because we can now cordon off the problem of bad loans where they're manageable, and that should leave these banks in a position where their deposit bases are worth their weight in gold... the spread between what a bank can lend out and what it pays for your deposit is now gigantic.

This, coupled with the glorious decline in energy prices, could eventually get us out of bear territory once and for all, and definitely puts a lot of distance between the July 15th intraday lows that I told you would not be violated, and where we are today.

.  .  .  .  .


Now, what do I think you should buy off of this?...


It's time to go back to Mad Money's "Fortress Four" banks: JPMorgan (JPM*), which I own for my charitable trust... US Bancorp (USB), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC)... And, tonight, I'm adding Wachovia Corp. (WB)... It's now the "Fortress Five"... thanks to the leadership of Bob Steele, who I believe will be able to split WB into a good bank and a bad bank, and lead it much higher... Now that the stock was up today a couple of smackers... have a little pullback... knowing this market, you're going to get one.

These stocks have already had major moves, ever since I set the market bottom July 15th, but they're going higher now that Fannie and Freddie are about to be eviscerated...

If this plan plays out like it should, the "Fortress Five" get to make more money... they get to make more loans... and they'll be the ones to benefit when housing bottoms on June 30th of next year... something I am more and more convinced is definite, thanks to the federal takeover of Fannie and Freddie.

Here's the bottom line...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Does this make everything better?...  No.  No one's saying that... far from it...  China is still absent, they're not buying...  Commodity stocks are still going lower... Oil stocks keep getting hit... I think oil could go as low as $80 now... given what's happening.  Tech is under a lot of pressure, because of a softer worldwide economy... The rest of the world is incredibly bad...  Europeans refuse to lower rates.  It's devastating just to watch those stocks, let alone own them...  But, for the banks and for the home builders and for the retailers that need a strong domestic economy, it is a great leap forward, when it comes to breaking the vicious cycle of foreclosures and house price depreciation... something that's fabulous, not just for our economy, but for every other country...  and there are a lot of them... that owns paper from Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE)... including the Chinese... so I think that put a lot of pressure on us...  not to mention being terrific for the "Fortress Five" banks, JPMorgan (JPM*), US Bancorp (USB), Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC) and now, man of "Steele", Wachovia Corp. (WB)... 

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)



JPM*

41.55

na

JPMorgan (JPM*)


USB

33.94

na

US Bancorp (USB)



BAC

34.73

na

Bank of America (BAC)


WFC

33.56

na

Wells Fargo (WFC)



WB

18.99

na

Wachovia Corp. (WB)

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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