Monday, 07/14/08
Posted 07/15/08,  08:31 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 07/14/08

  Dow Jones: 11,055   - 45
  NASDAQ:   2,212   - 26
  S&P 500:   1,228    -11
 
 
 
 
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Opening Segment picks here...


On Bank Stocks...

JJC:    This is a feared day, Erin... Actually, more fear today than I've seen any time other than Bear Sterns, and a lot of it is because we've got these single-digit stocks falling on a percentage basis that frankly, is just ghastly if you own one of those stocks... Why?...       In 1990, all of these disappeared... I mean, it's the same playbook, you didn't start bottom fishing until most of the savings and loans disappeared... We just lost the first one... IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (IMB)... Give us a chance to lose some more... I would emphasize that everyone in the game knew that IndyMac was going to go... Everybody... It's because they had a huge number of non-performing assets... You want non-performing assets, I give you Washington Mutual (WM)... You want non-performing assets, I'll give you National City Corporation (NCC)... You don't want to wait until there's a line out the door getting your deposits, just look at the NPA's (non-performing assets), that's what determines whether a bank is going to be seized or not... NPA's, non-performers... Maybe, I mean, you have Downey Financial (DSL), BankUnited (BKUNA), FirstFed (FED), these are all... You know, look, why not just tell the darn truth here... I mean, everyone of these is getting a call right now from the government just saying, hey guys, raise some more capital right now... Look, that's what happened to IndyMac... It got the call to raise more capital and they couldn't... Those banks shouldn't be notified... Obviously, you've got NCC... they have a big champion... Washington Mutual has a big champion... These are people who put in money substancially higher... They should be called right now and say, listen, you either come back to the table now and put more money in, or we're going to close Washington Mutual on Friday, and re-open it as Washinton Federal Mutual... That's what happened to two of the banks I had money in in 1990... My actual banks, I didn't know the difference... Hey, it was great, ATM's worked on Monday...

.  .  .  .  . 


On Homebuilders...

JJC:    Right, now that was, I thought, a make sense trade... Now, obviously, you saw Centex Corporation (CTX) clear the dividend... Toll Brothers (TOL) up... It's so funny because TOL tends to sell non-conforming homes, meaning you don't have Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac involved because their homes are more expensive... But I'm looking for this group to bottom ahead of when the banks bottom... And, you know, I do really feel like we're getting close... One merger of a Pulte (PHM) and a DR Horton (DHI), or a Lennar Corp. (LEN) and a CTX brings you to a bottom in that group... But we need to see a merger before we can get excited... TOL could be the Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK) to the group, though, where nobody is left standing except for TOL... That could happen unless we see some mergers...

.  .  .  .  . 


On Drillers, President lifts the the offshore drilling ban...

JJC:    Right, Oceaneering (OII), we've focused on that... Obviously Schlumberger (SLB)... FMC Technologies, Inc. (FTI), is the company that actually is the best in preventing the next Santa Barbara, the 1969 incident that the democrats keep citing as if it were yesterday... I mean, I don't know, I was what, 24 then... I remember it like it was yesterday...

.  .  .  .  . 

 

 



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Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

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Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
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StockHomework101.com

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