Thursday, 07/31/08
Posted 08/01/08,  11:03 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 07/31/08

  Dow Jones: 11,378  - 205
  NASDAQ:   2,325   -  4
  S&P 500:   1,267   - 16
 
 
 
 
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Opening Segment picks here...


On Washington Mutual
(WM)...
JJC:    Well, this is integral to my "bottom" thesis... This is what started happening in 1990... You had a big Arabian sheik come in and buy a big position in Citigroup (C)... This time, it's General Electric (GE), where we work... This time, we have WM... everyone had told you that they were going to be bust... Suddenly, we've got outside investors actually buying the stock... No sweetheart deal... this time, like the other private equity deal... And we're seeing, in this day where everyone told me that Bank of America (BAC) and Merrill Lynch (MER) had to come down big... and Wachovia Corp. (WB)... they're moving again. The banks led us down. The banks are leading us back up... New leadership and I'm liking it... That's what causes a bottom... I am saying we're not going to re-test... we're not going to get to July 15th lows. That was it. And now, as we come down, you want to buy, not sell... as has been the case every time the banks have been hit since then. I suspect they'll be hit tomorrow on the unemployment number. Again, I am saying buy them...

.  .  .  .  . 

On the potential sales of divisions within financials...
JJC:    You know, I have trouble with that, because I think that JPMorgan (JPM) is so well-run. I wouldn't want to do that.   Citigroup (C)... I don't mind them doing that, although American International Group (AIG) is not as high-quality as Citigroup, and much more of a black box... Goldman Sachs (GS*)... I own it for my charitable trust... I said I would own it forever for charity... and I always think that that stock is inexpensive... and you can say that GS* is the one that is expensive versus the rest, but inexpensive, versus its historical price...

 

.  .  .  .  . 


On Walt Disney Co.
(DIS) and Apple (AAPL)...
JJC:    I wish that Bob Igor (CEO of DIS), whom you know I think the world of, had not had to spend so much time talking about advertising... it got lumped into the Viacom (VIA-B) trade the other day... and more talked about how he has these fantastic franchises, whether it be "High School Musical"... "WALL-e"... The theme parks were up... I think he got trapped. I wish that the focus had not been on the last three weeks of advertising. I thought it was a remarkable quarter, and you know that I still remain convinced that this is a great stock, if you only had to buy one (share) for your kids. I wanted Bob to talk so much about how his franchises, versus say a big drug or PG kind of franchise, because he's really got a lot of great franchises... (Erin: I've got to tell you... he called his quarter "exhilarating"...) JJC: Look, I agree with him... (Erin: It's an unusual word... ) JJC: I know! Look, he's so honest that he talked about a decline in advertising and, boom, that's all anyone is focused on... and, two weeks ago, all anyone was focused on was theme parks being down, and they weren't. This stock is beginning to get beat up too aggressively. (Erin: So, Disney (DIS) is a buy?... ) JJC: Yeah.

 

.  .  .  .  . 


On Walter Industries Inc.
(WLT)...
JJC:    I used this as an example (in his book) of a breakup value, when the stock was at $40... Uh, Fording Coal (FDG) just got a takeover bid... Alpha Natural (ANR) just got a takeover bid... This is the perfect kind of coal. They just had an announcement today about having more coal available... They have some weird distribution... other businesses... I remember this as the old asbestos company that got hurt. This is all different now... I think that this company is the ideal kind of conglomerate to buy in this environment... and I thought that your manager was really smart...

.  .  .  .  . 


On Unilever plc
(UL)...
JJC:    You know, I have to tell you... UL... when you read their statements... they were very downbeat. I want to contrast that with Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL)... You know, this could be a share take. These are great worldwide companies. I wonder whether UL isn't just losing share to CL... CL had a really magnificent quarter. UL's was awful. So I think we might have a little tug of war here that CL is winning right now...

 

.  .  .  .  . 


On KB Home
(KBH)...
JJC:    Well, I think that KBH has stopped going down. I mean, I keep expecting this to take out its low. It hasn't. Toll Brothers (TOL) back to $20 again... Centex Corporation (CTX) has a terrible quarter, and the stock is up. This is, again... remember, my bottom call is (to look at) what led us down... What did you and I talk about one year ago today?... Housing and banks... I was incredibly glum last year, and frightened. I am much more sanguine now, and that's what you're seeing... I am seeing exactly the stocks that I was most concerned about last year bottoming, and I'm seeing a lot of these commodity plays topping, and I can't just close my eyes to that sea change...

.  .  .  .  . 

 

 



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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

GS*

5.59

na

Goldman Sachs (GS*)

DIS

30.35

na

Walt Disney Co. (DIS)

WLT

45.39

na

Walter Industries Inc. (WLT)

UL

16.21

na

Unilever plc (UL)

CL

74.27

na

Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL)

KBH

12.80

na

KB Home (KBH)

   
 

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Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
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StockHomework101.com

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