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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
If today’s
roller coaster
action teaches
us anything… it
is that you have
to be flexible…
and that is
something the
bears in this
market just do
not seem to
understand… they
are puzzled… to
them, everything
is negative…
there is no
piece of data
that they will
not put a
pessimistic spin
on… and
depressive bets
this practice…
interpreting
everything
negatively… as
though they are
afraid to admit
that anything
might be going
well or
improving… you
know what?…
these
negativists
would find a way
to knock the
huge Denbury
encore deal in
the oil patch
this morning… or
how about the
gigantic Stanley
Works Black &
Decker take over
announced this
very evening…oh
I can hear them…
I can hear them…
they are
whispering to
each other, I
know what they
are saying.. I
will not get
bullish until I
see an encore to
encore… Stanley…
they presume
they overpaid...
Right now I consider
myself a bull… but I
am also willing to
admit that I think
we have seen the
highs for the year…
I do not see all
that much to like
about the market…
except when it sells
off hard and then I
get interested… the
bears… no… they are
never interested…
why?… because
everything to them…
everything is a
prelude to a crash…
everything is
frightening… when we
dropped big on
Friday… what was
supposed to happen
on Monday?… we were
supposed to crash…
when we opened up in
reverse today… sent
back down… what was
supposed to happen?…
by the end of the
day we were supposed
to crash… I guess
when we see the
employment data on
Friday, you know
what is going to
happen?… crash.
I think they believe
the bulls are just a
bunch of crash
dummies… this kind
of thinking is
extraordinary
because it leaves no
room for anything to
work out for the
best… now look, I
have been a
pessimist all my
life… at least about
my personal life…
but at least I see a
little ray of
sunshine now and
then… it is always
raining where these
bears are from… I
bet Seattle seems
pretty sunny to
these Kodiaks… hey
like I said in Jim
Cramer’s GETTING
BACK TO EVEN… you
have to be willing
to acknowledge when
you have made a
mistake… instead of
digging in your
heels when you are
wrong.
Now, I am completely
willing to accept
that the data about
the economy is mixed
right now… some
numbers disappoint…
we had some not so
hot jobless claims
this week… I was not
crazy about last
weeks new home
sales… although the
existing home sales
today were pretty
terrific… I am
perfectly willing to
admit now and then
that things are
mixed… and yes I
acknowledge pretty
much every day that
the economy has
stabilized… albeit
at lower levels… I
see the turf that
saws it is all rosy
and, in fact, I am
totally apoplectic
about the lack of
job creation… and I
think that we really
could be hurt down
the road by the lack
of employment… the
bears on the other
hand, they never see
anything… if you
listen to them every
piece of data is
just down right
awful… every housing
number is a step
down… every car sale
number is
disappointing… and
anything that is
good like the GDP
number that we got
last week… is
explained away as
rearview mirror…
objects seem higher
and bigger and
everything else than
they seem… despite
the fact that when
the good rearview
mirror news was
actually happening…
these ? majors… they
did not see any good
news at all.
And heaven forbid…
heaven forbid… if
you are positive
about anything right
now… like the
rebuild of capital
at Ford… or how
about the turn in
orders at 3M… or
United Tech… or BHP…
Freeport, remember
they have got a
dividend now… you
are ridiculed by the
bears… ridiculed…
you are embarrassed
… you are pantsed…
for not seeing the
burning forest thru
the saplings… when
it comes to being
bullish… I feel
exposed… as exposed
as Bambi’s mom… or
maybe Thumper in a
forest fire…
remember the press
bought the move up
from Dow 6500 to Dow
10,000 with tooth
and nail… hammer and
tongs… with
everything that it
had in its arsenal…
solid bank earnings
were dismissed as
paper gains…
fantastic industrial
earnings were
explained away as
just the results of
aggressive cost
cutting… and any
macro economic
number that signaled
some kind of
strength, they were
all scoffed at… or
blamed, cash for
clunkers… $8,000
home builder credit…
nothing happened… it
gets frustrating… as
to make you feel
that you simply
cannot be doing
anything right…
unless you are 100%
negative all the
time.
Dismiss all the
positives as being
phony… take retail…
things are doing
better at Kohl’s…
take TJX… Bed Bath &
Beyond… Costco…
J.Crew…. well, polar
bears writing us all
off… one time only…
back to school
season was supposed
to be awful… it
turned out great…
now holiday sales, I
guess they are going
to have to be
miserable… right?…
when those turn out
to be strong… what
is next?… a weak
Valentine’s Day?…
maybe a bad
Groundhog Day… lousy
Festivus sales….
sound reasonable.
Or they will come
out with an
alternative reason
like, sure
residential real
estate might be
bottoming… but
commercial is about
to collapse or
explode… or sure,
natural gas might be
bottoming… but oil
is about to plummet…
or sure, Goldman
Sachs has made money
and repaid TARP… but
Wells Fargo is a
disaster in the
making… it is
endless… it is
totally endless… it
is tact for tact.
The bottom line…
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
The Bottom Line!:
It is possible to be
too skeptical… and
the bears along with
the media have taken
skepticism of this
market to the utmost
extremes… do not be
fooled… there are
real positives out
there… even as the
data is mixed… not
all bad… but mixed…
and on the good days
like today when we
were supposed to
crash… and instead
finished strong… you
remember that
unequivocally
positive data like
we had this morning
does reassure the
buyers… even as it
is meaningless to
the intelligentsia
that set the bogus
intellectual agenda.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
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