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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
Time to get
serious… Cancer
research week on
Mad Money… so
the rest of the
week we are
going to be
celebrating the
companies that
are seeking
breakthroughs
against the
disease that
kills over a
half a million
Americans every
year… companies
that have made
gigantic strides
in improving
extending life
for those with
cancer… make no
mistake about
it… this is an
illness that has
touched almost
everyone…
whether it be
thru a friend or
a family member…
including mine…
or someone in
your community
that has been
diagnosed… we
appreciate the
humanitarian
value of what
these drug
companies are
doing… but at
the same time we
recognize that
many of you are
looking to make
money with the
pharmaceutical
companies and
this is a major
growth area for
them… and that
is the reason
that we are
devoting this
week to the
battle against
cancer… and the
companies that
are doing the
research, that
can be very
attractive
investment
opportunities.
.. many of them
aren’t...
Jim:
Now,
the ones we are
going to reveal
tonight are our
steady four legged
chair stocks… to go
with last week’s
metaphor… defensive
stocks that can work
even if we go down…
a drug company with
a strong cancer
business is a good
fit in a diversified
portfolio… call me
on Wednesday, maybe
this is a good way
to answer it thru
the stocks that we
are talking about
tonight… that is why
we are focusing on
who is doing the
best work and who
has the best
franchises… today we
are going to start
with the bigger more
established players…
as the week goes on
we are going to get
more speculative for
those who really
want to roll the
dice… in keeping
with what I talk
about in
Getting
Back To Even…
the generation on
investing way to
play cancer research
for all but the
youngest people is
with the two
companies that I am
going to recommend
tonight…
Pfizer (PFE),
boy I never thought
I would ever
recommend that stock
since 1998.… and
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
(BMY*),
which
my charitable trust,
ActionAlertsPlus.com
owns.
These are two steady
big pharma names and
they happen to have
strong cancer
franchises that are
not talked about
enough… when we are
looking at a big
drug company… one
disease is not the
only thing that is
going to move the
needle… as they have
lots of exposure to
lots of different
illnesses… that is
true with these two
stocks, Bristol and
Pfizer… cancer is
not the whole story
by any means… but
both companies have
powerful oncology
arms that are
getting bigger and
bigger… especially
Bristol Myers.
So let’s look at BMY
first, remember why
do I say that it is
a conservative way
to invest as they
try to battle
cancer?… they have a
5.7% yield… the
company just
reported a strong
third quarter
October 22nd, it
beat the streets
consensus earnings
per share estimate
by a penny… and
delivered 16%
earnings growth…
that makes it one of
the fastest growing
big pharma names out
there… now, why is
it so cheap?…
because
Bristol-Myers is
going to fall off of
a patent cliff in
2012... when Plavix,
its number one drug
for cardiovascular
problems, that was
$5.6b in sales in
2008, it goes off of
patent… but the
companies
acquisition strategy
and its oncology
business should help
make up for lost
Plavix sales.
Bristol-Myers main
oncology drug is
Erbitux, that is for
colorectal, head and
neck cancer… it did
$749m in sales in
2008... now there
the exclusivity
lasts until 2017...
now the colorectal
cancer market has
been shrinking…but
Erbitux sales in
that market has
begun to stabilize,
up 2% vs. the second
quarter… even as
they were down 4%
year over year… the
company could have a
gigantic opportunity
in Sprycel… that is
the leukemia drug
that did $310m in
sales in 2008... in
the second quarter
sales of this drug
were up nearly 40%…
that is really
incredible growth…
that is year over
year… Bristol-Myers
is currently testing
it in other forms of
cancer like prostate
cancer… it is in
phase III
development, that
means that it is
about to go up or
down… breast cancer,
that is phase II,
that means that it
is going to be a
long time.
Bristol also has
Ixempra for breast
cancer, it is doing
$101m in sales just
last year… but that
loses its
exclusivity too, but
not until 2018... it
has got Texal, that
did $385m in sales
last year… even
though it went off
patent in 2000...
Bristol-Myers has
had a lot of success
with what is known
as its string of
pearls take over
strategy to expand
its oncology and
immunology phrases…
thank you Stephanie
Lynn, who helps run
ActionAlertsPlus.com
with me, who pointed
this out… the
company has made 7
acquisitions since
October 2007, in
order to improve the
visibility of its
pipeline and
diversify its
product exposure..
most recently
Bristol-Myers just
bought Medarex, this
was a smart
acquisition… they
paid a 90% premium
back in July.. but
it is a deal that
doubled the size of
its cancer pipeline…
the product that is
closest to approval
is a metastatic
melanoma drug… it is
in phase III
development, again
that means very
close… it is also
being studied for
lung and prostate
cancer.
Bristol-Myers is not
done doing deals..
the company is
getting a big $1.75b
payout from Mead
Johnson the
neutreceutical
company… it has an
83% stake in it…
which on top of the
$7.9b in cash that
Bristol-Myers
already has will
give the company
more than enough
money to keep making
pipeline extending
acquisitions…
remember that it is
trying to protect
itself from the
Plavix patent
expiration.
How about Pfizer?…
now anyone who has
watched this show…
since the beginning
knows that I have
disliked Pfizer… I
am changing that
tonight… it just
closed its massive
$68b acquisition of
Wyeth… I can no
longer be negative
on Pfizer… I am
going positive right
here… it is like it
is a whole new drug
company… much better
than the old one
ever was… the Wyeth
deal is
transformational… it
is making it
possible for me to
like this stock and
appreciate the
companies 3.8%
yield… remember they
did cut it… ever
without Wyeth Pfizer
has been improving…
it reported a better
than expected third
quarter on October
20th… and Pfizer’s
most recent
pre-Wyeth cost
cutting initiative
should create $2b in
cost savings by the
end of 2010.
Just like Bristol,
Pfizer has got a
patent problem… that
is why it is so
cheap… Lipitor, its
best known
cholesterol drug
loses patent
protection November
2011... two years
from now… but I
think the Wyeth
merger will prevent
Pfizer from falling
off that patent
cliff… the new
Pfizer is one of the
most diversified
healthcare player
out there…no drug
accounted for more
than 10% of the
companies 2012
sales… the Wyeth
deal should create
$4b in synergies…
that could be
conservative…
expected to be
additive as soon as
2012... so where
does Pfizer stand
with cancer?… on its
most recent
conference call,
Pfizer’s CEO said…
“We have never been
in a better position
than oncology.”… so
what does Pfizer’s
oncology portfolio
look like?
22 oncology products
and the biggest are
Aromazin, that is a
$465b breast cancer
treatment… and
Campdazar, that is a
colorectal cancer
drug that lost US
patent protection in
February of 2008...
but still did $563m
in sales this last
year… Pfizer’s
biggest cancer
opportunity comes
from Sutent, which
did $847m in sales
last year… it is a
small molecule drug
that inhibit’s the
flow of blood to
tumors… very
important… Sutent
got FDA approval in
January 2006 to
treat renal cell
carcinoma… a kind of
kidney cancer… as
well as approval for
a type of gastronal
intestinal tumor… in
the last quarter
Pfizer’s Suten sales
came in above
expectations… and
growth in the future
could come from
additional ongoing
work treating
kidney, lung, liver
and prostate cancer…
the drug has had a
few set backs… they
are still in 6 phase
III trials for Suten
that have yet to
report… potential,
major, block buster
cancer drug with
multiple
indications… those
are the two words
that you want to
look for… anything
that treats cancer…
because the drugs
with multiple
indications, ones
that treat many
different kinds of
cancer… are where
the big money comes
from… remember, this
stuff is not light…
these are all things
that I want to
temper any
enthusiasm for
because this is one
tough disease.
Admittedly only 5%
of Pfizer’s 2008
sales come from
oncology but with
the Wyeth
acquisition this
will make a larger
part of the business
as it seriously
increases the
companies R&D focus
on oncology… plus
Pfizer is devoting a
lot of R&D
researchers to
cancer research.
Bristol and Pfizer
are the two most
conservative ways to
play cancer research
on this cancer
busting week that we
are doing… they are
great opportunities
for all but the
youngest investors…
stocks are down
since they reported
in October… pretty
amazing because they
both did better than
expected… good entry
point… they have
attractive
evaluations… Pfizer
7 times 2011
earnings, growth
rate of 8.1, 2010 to
2011...
Bristol-Myers only
slightly higher… 9
times earnings, 9.1%
growth rate in 2011.
Here is the bottom
line…
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Bottom
Line:
Look no further than
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
(BMY*)
and
Pfizer (PFE)
if you want a good
way to invest in the
fight against
cancer… with a high
yielder big pharma
name… Bristol has
got more exposure to
oncology than
Pfizer… and it is
the one that I like
more… but I think
Pfizer, amazingly,
first time ever, is
now worth buying
too… now that it has
closed it
transformational
acquisition of
Wyeth… you know have
the most
conservative ways to
play the war on
cancer… for the rest
of the week we will
grow more single
issue with companies
that are focused
almost entirely on
fighting against
this dreadful
disease.. including
speculative stocks
that so many of the
younger generation,
like the people that
I met out at the
University of
Oklahoma want so
much to invest in.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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