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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
|
 |
DNDN |
27.78 |
Dendreon Corp. (DNDN)
|
|
 |
ONXX |
26.57 |
Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
(ONXX)
|
|
|
| |
[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
We've already
heard from the
CEO of
Allos Therapeutics, Inc.
(ALTH)...
I really like
that story.
That's part of
Cancer Research
Week today. And
now I want to
dig even deeper
into the cancer
stocks with two
names that we
believe are
possible
takeover
candidates...
that could exist
on their own...
and that's
Dendreon Corp. (DNDN)
and
Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
(ONXX).
These are two
high-profile
biotech specs.
They are loved
by
Lightning Round
viewers
worldwide.
Remember, we
never speculate
on takeovers on
Mad Money unless
the fundamentals
are sound, and
we think both
Dendreon and
Onyx pass that
key litmus
test...
We know that
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
(BMY*)
is on the hunt for
oncology
acquisitions, and
just this Tuesday,
the president of
Merck Research Labs
said the company
will continue to
make acquisitions
even in the wake of
its $41 billion
takeover of
Schering-Plough...
thank you, Fred
Hassen (CEO of
Schering) for making
our viewers so much
money.
Dendreon and Onyx
are two strong
oncology names that
could help big
pharmaceutical
companies grow again
if they are
acquired...
Let's take a look at
Dendreon first...
This is a $3 billion
biotech company that
develops drugs which
help your immune
system target and
attack cancer cells.
Its main product is
called "Provenge"...
Provenge is a
prostate cancer drug
that's in late-stage
development, and it
could be huge as
more than 540,000
men in the U.S.
suffer from prostate
cancer. Just this
Monday, Dendreon
announced that it's
completed its
submission of its
supplemental
biologics license
application for
Provenge to the FDA.
The stock didn't
really pop. The
analysts who cover
this stock expect
that Provenge will
receive a six-month
review. This thing
could be
commercialized by
mid-2010 if it's
approved. The drug
could potentially do
$730 million in
sales in 2011.
Remember, it's
already a $3 billion
company though.
Perhaps it could
have, though, $4
billion in sales in
peak sales in
2020... So, a $3
billion company may
be okay then.
Three years ago, the
FDA wasn't all that
positive on
Provenge... at least
one of the
committees... so I
was negative on it
too. I was pilloried
for that... but both
the FDA and I have
switched
directions... maybe
not early enough,
mind you... I know
that... but I did
switch. Provenge
isn't the only drug
Dendreon has in the
works. Its company
should be starting a
clinical trial for a
bladder cancer drug
a year from now. But
Provenge is by far
the real
opportunity.
Now there's a real
element here for
speculation, because
Provenge still needs
FDA approval, and
that's what you're
betting on if you
buy Dendreon. Now,
also the stock is up
507% from $4.58...
in a year... thanks
to positive clinical
trial data... but it
could go even higher
if the FDA approves
Provenge. That's how
these small biotech
stocks work.
How about Onyx?...
This one's a $1.5
billion bio pharma
name that's
developing therapies
to target the
molecular mechanisms
that cause cancer.
Onyx's main drug is
called Nexavar. It's
for kidney and liver
cancer. Nexavar,
which the company
sells in partnership
with Bayer, is the
drug that inhibits
the growth of blood
vessels that
typically support
tumors and allow
them to expand. This
is breakthrough...
Onyx's big drug did
$678 million in 2008
alone. $229 million
was just last
quarter, which was
up 27% year over
year. Nexavar is
also being tested on
several other
cancers, including
breast and thyroid
cancer, so it could
have more
indications than it
does already.
Now Onyx just
reported a
better-than-expected
quarter on Tuesday
and people yawned.
It delivered 35
cents per share...
that's 13 cents more
than what the Street
was expecting... and
revenues of $69
million, or $3 more
than the Street's
consensus. Onyx is
making money. It's
turning a profit.
It's already got a
major cancer drug on
the market... and
that makes it
substantially less
speculative than
Dendreon. On October
12th, Onyx announced
plans to acquire
Proteolix. Now
Proteolix is a
privately-held
biotech name, with a
very promising
multiple myeloma
drug in late-stage
development... a
solid pipeline of
drugs for treating
blood cancer... It's
a deal that could
cost the company up
to $850 million. You
see, the stock
hasn't acted well,
because when the
acquisiton was
announced, people
thought it was less
likely that Onyx
would be taken over,
maybe by Bayer...
But I think the deal
makes sense for the
company to be
standalone, as
doctors are very
excited by
Proteolix's multiple
myeloma drug... plus
the acquisition's
allowing Onyx to
make several
presentations at the
same conference that
I keep referring
to... that American
Society of
Hematology
Conference that's
running from
December 5th to
December 8th, and we
heard from Mr. Berns
how important that
conference is. He is
the fellow from
Allos...
A big catalyst
coming for Onyx in
the form of the
Chinese government's
national
reimbursement drug
list. That comes out
later this month. If
the Chinese
government includes
Nexavar on the list,
that would be huge
for Onyx, though
it's a tall order,
given that the drug
is priced at $7000
per month in the
People's Republic.
But the company's
partnered with Bayer
on Nexavar, and
Bayer, which just
happens to be the
largest
multinational pharma
company in China,
has been lobbying
the Chinese
government to
include this drug
for several months.
Hey, speaking of
Bayer... it really
wouldn't shock me
if, after all these
approvals, the big
German
pharmaceutical
didn't buy this
company, Onyx,
outright.
The stock had run to
as high as $60 in
November of 2007,
when Nexavar was
approved for liver
cancer. It has since
pulled back heavily.
It now trades at
$26.57. That's less
than $5 above its
52-week-low. The
stock is very out of
favor. It's down 22%
year to date. Given
how well the market
is, and
the Nasdaq...
it's pretty cheap.
Here's the bottom
line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
The Bottom
Line:
We've got two more
ways to play the
battle against
cancer with
Dendreon Corp. (DNDN)
and
Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
(ONXX).
Dendreon is
definitely more
speculative of the
two, as its main
drug, Provenge, has
yet to receive FDA
approval. The stock
is already on a
tear, and Provenge
also has mega
blockbuster
potential. Onyx's
main drug is already
on the market. It
already has multiple
indications and it's
generating strong
sales. I think both
are buys for the
young at heart, and
just plain young,
who seek speculative
stocks that could
hit the ball out of
the park.
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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