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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
Herbalife Ltd. (HLF),
the nutritional
supplements and
personal care
products company
that sells its
products via
multilevel
marketing and
direct selling,
think of Avon or
Tupperware… for
vitamins… is
hitting a 52
week high today…
and we need to
know if it is
still worth
buying… now this
is one of those
stocks that has
been dogged
unfairly by
rumors from the
short sellers
about how its
business model
works or does
not work… and
because it can
be hard to get
your hand and
your head around
the model… they
sell supplements
to sales people
who sale to
other sales
people who
finally sell
them to you…
there have been
questions about
whether it is
doing its
business right…
some on Wall
Street have
always regarded
Herbalife as a
pyramid scheme…
that has not
been the case
here on Mad
Money… but such
accusations have
come back to
bite the company
in the past… in
fact, they even
got to me,
frankly, back on
June 17th when
the stock was at
$27.75, I even
questioned
Herbalife’s
model…I could
not recommend
it… we missed
out on 47% run…
do you know what
happened?… I am
sure this has
happened to you,
I am just human…
I got
beleaguered by
the cat calls
and the
negatives… I
could not take
it anymore… I
figured that
somebody knows
something that I
did not know.
Here is the
thing… Herbalife
under its
current CEO has
never really had
a problem with
its business
model or its
sales… but it is
easy for
unscrupulous
hedge fund
managers to
spread rumors…
and to spread
gossip… that
hurt the stock
so that it is
relentlessly
pursued and
banged down by
the shorts to
make it for a
guy like me to
say, look I
probably do not
know what is
really happening
here… maybe I am
missing the real
story… these
guys can’t be
that wrong,
right?… this is
despicable
behavior… it is
the kind of
thing that
nearly destroyed
our financial
system at the
beginning of the
year… but you do
not see the
government going
after the false
rumor mongers… I
would like to
know what shorts
earned their
false profits in
Herbalife…
eventually
though, of
course, as with
any good
company, the
truth does come
out… the stock
does come back
to life… but
unless you are
the kind of
executive that
is willing to
give out illegal
insider
information to
diffuse the
shorts… you have
to wait to
disclose the
numbers.. and
cannot rebut in
real time the
rumors of the
bear raiders in
the short term.
For Herbalife
the stock sprung
back after being
rumored down,
when it reported
a spectacular
.16 cents
earnings beat…
remember, there
were estimates
and it beat
those earnings
estimates
gigantically…
that was
November 2nd… it
was done on
higher than
expected
revenues…. you
know how much we
like that, the
top line… better
than expected
guidance for the
fourth quarter
and for 2010 to
boot.. I think
that Herbalife
is the best of
the best of the
direct sellers
for this
environment…
more
international
exposure than
Avon or
Tupperware… and
Nutrisystem
which you might
think to be the
most similar, is
actually more of
a weight loss
club with hardly
any
international
exposure yet.
Herbalife has
also put in the
second best
performance
since its IPO at
the end of
2004... it is up
178% in that
period… behind
NutriSystem Inc. (NTRI)… and
to top it all
off, Herbalife
is the cheapest
of the group
trading at 12
times 2010
earnings… Avon
16... Tupperware
is 14... 20 for
Nutrisystem… so
it has got the
most consistent
growth… and it
also has the
lowest multiple…
seem strange to
you?… do not
take it from me…
Let’s hear from
Michael Johnson
the CEO of
Herbalife Ltd. (HLF)
for
the full story…
Jim:
Michael, welcome
back to the show.
Michael: Hi Jim.
Jim: Alright,
Michael, you guys
are expanding like
mad… growing
overseas… every day
we hear about a weak
dollar, a weak
dollar, a weak
dollar… could you
please tell once and
for all our viewers
what it means to be
selling in one
currency, and then
have it translate to
a weaker currency,
and how it benefit’s
the shareholders of
that company?
Michael: Well, we do
80% of our business
overseas. And so a
weaker dollar
actually benefits
us. It does benefit
our travel and
entertainment but it
certainly benefits
our business
overseas because we
are buying,
obviously, dollars
at a different rate.
And so, we are
benefiting.
Jim: When you hear,
oh the dollar is so
weak. Don’t you have
to say, you know
what that is really
going to benefit
anyone who owns
Herbalife’s stock?
Michael: Yeah, I do
not want to sound
anti-American or
anything like that.
We do not have a fan
club for a weakening
dollar but a
weakening dollar
does benefit our
shareholders.
Jim: Now, you guys
continue to come
into some exciting
markets… each time I
see you, a year ago…
just tell me the
markets that you
have gone into in
the last year or 18
months.
Michael: We have
just opened up Viet
Nam this week, which
is fantastic.
Jim: Why does that
matter? Do people in
Viet Nam do they
want supplements?
What do they know?…
I mean I am not
denigrating Viet
Nam, but I am saying
how do you convince
them that this is
right for them?
Michael: Well, the
companies success
recently has been
built on daily
consumption. This is
a meal. That is a
great meal right
there. I tell my
friends that is the
best meal that you
are going to get all
day today. Vitamins,
great nutrition,
good minerals,
carbohydrates,
proteins, all that.
Everybody needs a
good meal in their
life. Viet Nam is 87
million people. 40%
of the population is
under 25 years old.
They are looking for
jobs, they are
looking for income.
So we have this two
way street, health
and wealth. Great
meal and a great
business
opportunity. And if
they apply the same
methods that have
been applied in
markets like Taiwan,
Korea, Mexico and
start these
nutrition clubs. We
have got a beautiful
daily consumption
model that builds an
opportunity for
income and an
opportunity for
better nutrition.
Jim: Okay, so that
is good in the
emerging markets.
One of the things
that surprised me
is, that the number
of sales leaders
declined in the
quarter but volume
still grew. I would
think that with the
unemployment level
around the world,
that the number of
people who would
want to take on
another job like
selling Herbalife
would have gone up.
Why is that now
inconsistent with
what is happening at
your company?
Michael: Let me give
you two answers and
not try to make it
too windy here. One
is that our model
was probably not
perfect for these
times. But to become
a 50% discount
seller, so I get a
50% discount and I
make money, 50% on
retail. So I buy it
at $25 and sell it
at $50. That model
was based on you
doing $2500 a month
for two months or
doing $4000 one
month. That is a big
entry fee in these
times. So we just
changed the model
and said look let’s
take that over 12
months. And our
distributors
absolutely bought
into this. They are
supporting this.
Actually a
distributor had this
idea. We tested it
in Russia. Huge
success and so now
we are rolling it
out globally. I
think that you will
see our supervisors,
our distributor
sellers, increase
over the next year
to year and a half.
Now the other side
you asked, why is
the volume going up
if you have not
recruited more?
Jim: Right, because
remember, everyone…
the bears say listen
it is just a
recruitment scheme…
and as long as they
keep recruiting
their numbers go up…
the minute they stop
recruiting, their
numbers go down…
that is not what
happened.
Michael: Well, isn’t
that interesting.
That means that
individual, and you
would call it per
distributor
performance is going
up. People are
working harder. They
are more productive.
They are doing a
better business
individually. We are
seeing those numbers
going up which is a
solid base for this
company. It means
that retailing is
vigorous. It is
taking place, it
gets rid of all
that.. you used the
word before so I am
not going to use it.
All this stuff (made
a pyramid with his
hands) it goes away.
Jim: Alright, so
let’s talk about
what… let’s speak
future… many CEO’s
have found their
companies under
attack… many CEO’s
have found that
there are short
sellers who really
need to have a stock
go down… what is
your advice to them
about how to take on
people who spread
false rumors about a
company that is
literally just a
profit, at
shareholders
expense, by lying?
Michael: These are
unique times. I do
not know if I have
sage advice for
another CEO. I know
what we did. We said
we are going to beat
this out with
numbers. And we are
going to continue to
improve our company
at all levels. From
the product, to the
business
opportunity, the
brand, the image of
the company. We are
just going to keep
posting numbers. And
we are going to let
the numbers speak
for us. Our
distributors are a
wonderful group of
human beings. They
have got a wonderful
business
opportunity. They
know it. They know
they do it with
integrity and
honesty, because we
make sure that the
golden goose, this
great company
Herbalife, continues
to prosper and
thrive. So we are
just going to beat
it out. You know we
could not take on
anybody who was
putting these rumors
because then it is
like you said in you
warm up, we are just
out there fighting
that pitched battle.
Jim: One way to stop
these people cold is
to pay a higher
dividend, because
they have got to pay
out the dividend.
How about a dividend
boost for Herbalife
which has always
returned good money
to its shareholders?
Michael: Well, I
will bring you to
our board meeting
and you can work on
that with our
directors.
Jim: I will. I am
happy to. Look you
have $250m in cash.
You have almost no
debt. You continue,
you have an analyst
day December 17th,
what a great time to
announce that you
are going to return
some of that cash to
shareholders.
Michael: We have
given almost $500m
back to
shareholders. In
share repurchase and
dividends.
Jim: Very few
companies have been
as shareholder
friendly and I am
hoping… well, I am
sure that we will
hear some good
things at the
December 17th
meeting?
Michael: You are
going to hear a much
more in depth view
of the company and
today and into the
future.
Jim: Well, I will
tell people right
now, listen to me…
this guy is money in
the bank… I bet you
that if you own the
stock ahead of the
December 17th
analyst meeting, you
are going to feel
richly rewarded… and
the fact that I left
the story because I
was beleaguered… let
that be a lesson to
you… if you get
beleaguered but the
story is good, just
stay the course…
that is what
matters… thank you
so much for coming
on the show, really
appreciate it.
Michael: Thank you.
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jim's
comments after the
interview:
No specific comments
after the interview.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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