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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim: You
want to know why
we came back
today from the
depths of
despair, even
though for most
of the day felt
like trading
stocks…more like
you're trading
bullets
actually. Maybe
the battle of
summer, the
imperial city of
way, pork chop
hill! Why we
recovered…do you
want to know why
we recovered in
spite of the
fear, despite of
the endless
selling from
Hedge Funds
going wild to
have the Dow
close up 10
points and to
reach down 168
points at its
low. The S&P
flat! Hey,
Nasdaq up almost
3 1/4, I mean
wow! And do you
believe me now
when I just say
that it's the
Hedge Funds
going wild
that's doing all
their selling?
Because when
their selling
finished, we
rallied hard.
I'll tell you
why!...
Get The Wall Street Journal for 75% off!
Once those moronic
Hedge Funds finished
liquidating, the
market flew to the
positive. Why?
Because the
fundamentals! The
fundamentals of most
companies out there
are a lot better
than the selloff
would make you
believe, and that's
actually more
important than
problems with Europe
or the dollar or
gold. We talk about
those things
everyday! It's not
making you money,
listen to what we're
talking about. The
fundamentals, that
will make you money.
It'll make you even
more money than the
decent unemployment
number we got.
Do you know this? Of
the 314 companies in
the S&P 500
that
have told us what
their earnings are
so far, 74% were
doing better than
what I was looking
for. 71% have sold
more product than I
thought they would.
That's right! Beat
on earnings, beat on
revenues! These are
unbelievable
numbers! I mean,
come on! If you
watch a lot of TV or
read the papers,
you'd think the
world is ending. Or
how about this
one…the dividend
boost. From November
through January, 47
companies in the S&P
500 have raised
their dividend. Only
4 cut them. I mean,
come on! That's a
huge improvement
from the 12 months
before where we got
40 dividend raises
and 21 cuts in the
same period.
Yep, this earnings
season, it's been
fabulous! Is anyone
else saying that
besides me? We also
focused on Portugal.
I can't even find
Portugal on the map.
I mean, I'm looking!
I mean, I know it's
there. I mean, it's
like there's a place
called Beats or
something!
Anyway, it's
eventually the
positive
fundamentals always
win out. And the
fundamentals of
companies trump to
selloff inducing
fundamentals of the
money management
business. See some
Hedge Funds were
caught leaning the
wrong way and they
had to sell
everything to meet
investor demands.
Their failing
created an
atmosphere of
tremendous fear
everywhere I went,
where everywhere I
went, where many
people believe that
we had to fall hard.
Because their
selling made it look
like something was
terribly wrong. That
judgment was
rendered by the
closing prices
yesterday. It turned
out it really didn't
mean much at all.
The closing prices
were wrong like I
told you. And the
mid-day prices were
wrong today. Why?
Because we got a
good employment
number this morning.
One that showed a
glimmer of hope that
we could soon be
creating some jobs
around this joint
and because the
earnings we got were
terrific. It looks
like our friends
Chicken and Little
seemed to have been
terrible
forecasters. And we
think they'll be
wrong again next
week when I expect
the terrific rally
to ensue, at least
if we stop worrying
about the rain in
Spain or Portugal or
Greece for that
matter, and start
focusing on how job
creations coming
back and most of the
earnings are down
right awesome. In
other words, look
let me just boil it
down. Business is
pretty darn good in
the country, doesn't
mean the stock
market's good. Does
mean the stock
market will
eventually be good
which is why I got
to play close
attention to this
game plan.
First, Monday
morning…
CVS (CVS),
you probably shop
there if you don't
shop at Walgreens.
Hey, this is a cheap
stock, it could be
usually undervalued.
If they execute,
they have not been
executing…if we see
some signs of return
I got to tell you I
could be
recommending this
stock Monday night
if they encourage
us. After the bell,
we got the best
single company to
measure whether the
Stimulus is finally
kicking in. It's
called
Vulcan
(VMC).
It's a purveyor of
rocks, aggregates,
cement. You need
Vulcan to build
roads and the
company has told us
over and over again
that you will start
seeing the stimulus
in 2010. Let's
listen to the
conference call to
find out if that
prediction was true.
Memo to President
Obama: you should
listen too. If you
want to find out how
a real company that
could do some real
hiring might
actually be doing
with our tax
dollars, instead of
constantly spending
all this time with
small businessmen
and while I love,
don't have the
broader view like
Vulcan does.
How about this one…
Electronic Arts (ERTS),
but we call it ERTS
because of the
symbol E-R-T-S. That
reports after the
close. You know I'm
fixated on this
company. I didn't
like it at 40,
didn't like it at
30, didn't like it
at 20, hey 17.18? My
kind of stock! This
video game maker
barely budged when
it slashed guidance
gigantically last
month. You know I
like situations
where the negatives
are already in the
stock. Remember,
ever since it
acquired Playfish,
Electronic Arts has
become maybe the
best play on social
media game and
that's by the way
what the iPzzad's
all about with
Apple. Social media
gaming is huge. I
also like the fact
that the company's
got a whole new
group of titles
coming out. This is
going to be the day
when all those
people who hate ERTS
join me to the
upside.
Tuesday, we hear
from two of the
largest and most
iconic companies in
America, maybe in
the world.
Coke (KO)
in the morning,
Disney (DIS)
in the afternoon.
These 2 companies
have so much going
for them right now.
They are both
seasoned players up
and down and they
are run by truly
brilliant people.
Kent at Coke. He
doesn't make a big
splash Kent. But
trust me. I mean if
we could get the guy
on the show it'll be
a big deal because
the guy hardly ever
talks, he's real
smart though. Now, I
don't want to buy
the stocks so what
am I talking about
them for? I want to
listen. Why not buy?
Because it is not
news that Coke and
Disney are doing
great. They run, and
they've run a lot.
Now if you do get
any weakness in
either of these
stocks caused by the
Spanish rain on the
plane, yes, pull the
trigger. So, if the
market's down we're
going to buy either
Coke or Disney.
They're probably,
may I tell you, the
2 best companies
that report next
week.
Now, Wednesday
morning, we got the
probation hearing.
L-1 Identity Solutions Inc.
(ID).
We have thought long
and hard about this
biometrics company
and we are willing
to listen because
the stock did not go
down when it last
disappointed.
Remember how harsh
we were about this
one? Well, we still
want to believe in
L-1 as it's a play
in counterterrorism,
one of our big
themes for 2010.
It's got a CEO who
has made
shareholders a lot
of money at other
companies. But
seeing is believing
and we haven't seen
it yet. Either way I
will give you a
verdict on Wednesday
night. I do have my
fingers crossed
because Mr. LaPenta,
who's the CEO, is a
really good guy. I
really want him to
deliver. I have
rarely for a
company. I'm
cheering for L-1.
Next, popular home
gamer name,
Sprint Nextel Corp.
(S),
reports Wednesday
before the bell.
Could this be the
quarter where
business starts to
turn. That's what
we're going to be
listening for. And
we will be all over
Sprint if the turn
is upon us. At $3
how can we not be!
It's like one of
those lottery
tickets I see people
playing all the time
when I'm just trying
to buy the paper,
and they're always
in front of you and
stuff and it like
takes a
long….anyway, we
have our eyes on
Discovery Communications (DISCA)
as well. Cable is on
fire! People want to
own cable companies
so badly and yet
this is a pure play
on cable. It's the
one you need. This
one is a buy. And
I'm not just saying
that because I love
the mirror cats.
On Thursday morning,
we are going to hear
from
Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR).
Which we are now
enamored of because
it reinstated its
cash dividends
today. Not that
anybody care because
they were so focused
on the rain of
Spain, the dollar,
oil, I don't know!
Everything that
doesn't matter!
Treehouse Foods Inc. (THS),
our favorite private
label play, also
reports Thursday and
it should be good.
Remember we had them
on, the stock we
liked it at 28 and
it's at 30 and we
still like it. Hey
we're going to be
listening to
Fluor Corporation (FLR*),
I had mispronounced
that because I'm
from Philadelphia,
you don't have to
put that one on.
That's another
counterterrorism
theme. And I think
it's a lot better
than L-1. And of
course we're going
to hear from
Viacom, Inc. (VIA).
Now, what will we be
listening to on
Viacom conference
call? We're going to
see how much "Jersey
Shore"
made…remember, that
had a million
viewers, it went to
4 million viewers,
and we're going to
figure out how much
this situation is
really worth.
Viacom's a cable
play, like
Discovery, that's
worth more than it
is selling for that
I will tell you. And
I am not just saying
that because Snookie
and Sponge Bob are
reported to be big
fans of the show.
After the close we
will be listening,
like crazy and
eating like crazy,
to
Panera Bread Co.
(PNRA),
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)
and
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG).
These sweet stocks
do make us salivate.
Cheesecake Factory
because it is
incredibly well run.
Chipotle because
it's blessed by
fame, author and
restauranteur Danny
Meyer. Remember he
wrote that book
"Setting the table"
which I said is the
best business book
I've ever read.
Panera has the
strongest growth in
the casual dining
industry. Panera is
the best of the 3,
but oddly also the
one you have to be
the most weary of as
it may have run more
than all the others.
But here's why we
listen to these
things. All 3 will
give us a better
read on the consumer
than we'll get from
any 10 guess by an
analyst by looking
at numbers out of
Washington. Because
you can do that…you
can do without all
3. You don't have to
go to Panera, you
don't have to go to
Cheesecake, you
don't have to go
Chipotle, you don't.
See, if you hear
that business's good
it confirms what I'm
thinking. People are
feeling a heck of a
lot better about
themselves and their
pocket books and
they're willing to
go out instead of
staying at home,
okay.
Now finally, this is
the only trade
recommendation I'm
making off this
whole game plan. On
Friday,
Ultra Petroleum (UPL) reports. Ultra
was hammered again
today, it's been
weak. But this is
the only company
reporting I think
you should buy ahead
of its quarter
because of its
consistency and our
long term belief in
natural gas. If this
one's down even as
early as Monday, I
would buy some.
The bottom line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
 Even
though the market
got pummeled this
week, the earnings
have been strong so
far and I think the
trend continues next
week. I want
you to watch
CVS (CVS),
Vulcan
(VMC),
Electronic Arts (ERTS),
Coke (KO),
Disney (DIS),
L-1
(ID),
Sprint
(S),
Discovery Communications (DISCA),
Marriott
(MAR),
Treehouse Foods (THS),
Fluor (FLR*),
Viacom (VIA),
Panera
(PNRA),
Cheesecake (CAKE),
Chipotle
(CMG).
And if you want to
buy something, the
only one I'm giving
you my blessing to
do is I'd like you
to buy
Ultra Petroleum (UPL)
before Friday.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
*Note:
An asterisk next to
a stock indicates
that Jim owns it
currently for
his charitable trust.
If you are
interested in a
particular stock,
Jim Cramer
recommends that you
always do
the homework
on each stock, and
that you wait at
least one trading
week after his show
recommendation to
evaluate whether it
is a good stock
trade or investment
for you.
To help you with
this, we have
created an ONGOING
STOCK PORTFOLIO
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>>
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